Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseThe Super Mario Galaxy Movie 100%Führend unter 11 Optionen
Prognostiker
49
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 16 Stunden
Veraltet14. Jan. 26, 16:16 UTC30. Jan. 27, 23:59 UTC
Trends
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Which 2026 movies will make it into the IMDb Top 250?
PolymarketWill Grand Theft Auto 6 make more than $1.2 billion within 24 hours of it's release?
Manifold MarketsWill Twitter lose more than a billion dollars on labor law-related lawsuits from Musk's Twitter tenure, before 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Gothic Movies make a significant comeback before 2034?
Manifold MarketsOscar Winner: Best Picture
KalshiTop US Netflix Show this week?
KalshiRegeln
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES for any movie that reaches a worldwide box office gross of $1 billion USD or higher and was released by December 31, 2026.
- Resolution will be determined using verified box office data from Box Office Mojo or similar authoritative sources.
- Each answer resolves independently—multiple movies can resolve YES if they each cross the $1 billion threshold.
- If any movie is still in theaters in 2027 and hits the 1 billion mark next year, but was released in 2026, it still resolves YES.
- In 2025, only four movies surpassed $1 billion: "Zootopia 2," "Avatar: Fire and Ash," "Lilo & Stitch," and China's "Ne Zha 2.”
Offene Märkte
EntertainmentKALSHIOscar Winner: Best Picture
- The Odyssey-2.0pt51%
- Dune: Part Three13%
- The Black Ball+1.0pt11%
+36 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 4,4 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 63.083,2 €
POLYMARKET# of views of MrBeast video on day 5?
- 72–73M+62.5pt100%
- <70M-1.6pt0%
- 70–71M-23.9pt0%
+4 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHITop US Netflix Show this week?
- Death of the Pastor's Wife: Season 1+33.0pt44.9%
- Crew Girl: Season 134.8%
- NFL Melbourne Game: 49ers vs Rams9.3%
+9 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 61.722,8 €
KALSHIPractical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 27+6.0pt99%
- Above 25+3.0pt99%
- Above 32+28.0pt97%
+14 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 141.901 €
KALSHIRunner · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 50+1.0pt97%
- Above 45-3.0pt96%
- Above 55-3.0pt90%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 313.972 €
POLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- 950 - 960m+10.5pt70.3%
- 940 - 950m-7.0pt26.7%
- 960 - 970m+0.6pt2%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- # of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
- Top Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Sep 10, 2026
- Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
- The Uprising · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Big Brother Season 28 · Winner
- Grand Theft Auto VI: Release date
- Oscar Winner: Best Actor
- Next James Bond actor?
- The Game Awards: 2026 Game of the Year
- Top US Netflix Movie this week?
- Primetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Runner-Up Daily Music Video USA on YouTube: Sep 10, 2026
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Which movies will make a billion dollars worldwide in 2026??
- Manifold Markets bewertet The Super Mario Galaxy Movie mit 100% (Stand: 10. September 2026).
- Wann wird Which movies will make a billion dollars worldwide in 2026? entschieden?
- Which movies will make a billion dollars worldwide in 2026? soll am 30. Januar 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Which movies will make a billion dollars worldwide in 2026? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolution criteria