Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseZohran Mamdani 25.8%-0.1ptFührend unter 50 Optionen
Prognostiker
280
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
-1.1 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 1 Stunde
Verzogert30. Nov. 25, 19:39 UTC31. Dez. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Who will be TIME Magazine's 2026 Person of the Year?
Manifold MarketsWho or what will appear on the cover of TIME Magazine's 2026 Person of the Year issue? [add answers]
Manifold MarketsWill Eliezer Yudkowsky win the Time Magazine person of the year by 2042?
Manifold MarketsWho will be TIME Magazine's 2027 Person of the Year?
Manifold MarketsBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiOpenAI announces bankruptcy by which date?
PolymarketRegeln
This question resolves to the TIME 2026 Person of The Year.
- It uses consolidated answers to avoid having to predict who the major party nominees will be, or the exact wording of any abstract/group answers.
- If multiple options do end up being true, then those options will resolve to an even split of 100%.
- In ambiguous cases, I will try to match the resolution of the market to who Wikipedia lists in their TIME Person of The Year article.
Vergleich von Prognosequellen
- Auch verfügbar auf Polymarket — TIME Person of the Year 2026 · Zohran Mamdani 26%
- Auch verfügbar auf Futuur — TIME Person of the Year 2026 · Zohran Mamdani 24%
- Auch verfügbar auf Kalshi — Time's Person of the Year for 2026 · Zohran Mamdani 28%