Who or what will appear on the cover of TIME Magazine's 2026 Person of the Year issue? [add answers]
KI3MonManifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseExactly one person 51.6%Führend unter 7 Optionen
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Veraltet11. Dez. 25, 07:48 UTC11. Dez. 26, 23:59 UTC
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PolymarketRegeln
All people or things which appear on the cover will resolve YES.
- If there are multiple versions of the cover, an appearance on any one version of the cover is sufficient for YES.
- A straightforward non-photographic depiction (painting, caricature, AI-generated image, etc) is sufficient for YES if it's clear to me from the depiction itself who (or what) is being depicted.
- Abstract artistic representations won't qualify as an appearance of any real thing, but can be submitted as explicit answers.
- For example, a glowing floating brain with circuit traces probably qualifies for YES on "[an abstract representation of Artificial Intelligence]".
- For these, my interpretation of the image will be influenced by the headline and article contents.
Offene Märkte
AIKALSHITop AI model in September?
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POLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+6.5pt62.1%
- 2027-3.5pt28.4%
- 2026+2.0pt9.5%
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+3.5pt90%
- November 30,85%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
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KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-0.7pt61.4%
- ChatGPT-2.1pt22.8%
- Grok-0.1pt7.9%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 9,1 Mio. €
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
- ChatGPT-1.0pt11.2%
- Grok2.8%
+4 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 324.994,1 €
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Who or what will appear on the cover of TIME Magazine's 2026 Person of the Year issue? [add answers]?
- Manifold Markets bewertet Exactly one person mit 52% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Who or what will appear on the cover of TIME Magazine's 2026 Person of the Year issue? [add answers] entschieden?
- Who or what will appear on the cover of TIME Magazine's 2026 Person of the Year issue? [add answers] soll am 11. Dezember 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Who or what will appear on the cover of TIME Magazine's 2026 Person of the Year issue? [add answers] abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: All people or things which appear on the cover will resolve YES.