KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Claude 60%-1.5ptFührend unter 8 Optionen
Marktqualitat
≤89 / 100
Hohe Qualität24h-Volumen
67.259,8 €
Liquidität
5,4 Mio. €
Hohe LiquiditätSpread
0.3 pt
Enger SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 3 Minuten
1. Jan. 26, 15:00 UTC31. Dez. 26, 15:00 UTC
Trends
0%
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Regeln
If Baidu has the top-ranked LLM on Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:LM Arena Leaderboard (Remove Style Controls)
- If two models are tied under Rank (UB), then the model with the highest Arena Score will win.
- If two models are still tied after that, then the model with the most votes will win.
- If two models are still tied after that, the model that was released earlier will win.
- Important information: When checking the source for this market, check the 'Remove Style Control' toggle.
- If Google has the top-ranked LLM on Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Offene Märkte
AI
POLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028-11.0pt62.4%
- 2027-3.5pt29.7%
- 2026-1.5pt7.9%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 241.307,2 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 128.006,7 €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-2.0pt88%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,+1.0pt85%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
KALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max+1.0pt72%
- claude-opus-5-max+3.0pt10%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking+1.0pt5%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+5.0pt97%
- Before Jan 1, 2027+5.0pt96%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt94%
+9 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+1.0pt80.6%
- ChatGPT-2.0pt10.2%
- Gemini+1.0pt2.8%
+4 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 349.424,1 €
POLYMARKETGemini 4.0 released by which date?
- November 30-2.5pt88%
- October 31-6.0pt71%
- September 30-16.0pt13%
+4 weitere Ergebnisse
- OpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- Tencent market share this week
- Anthropic market share this week
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- OpenAI market share this week
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- Most popular AI this week
- DeepSeek market share this week
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Best AI at the end of 2026??
- Kalshi bewertet Claude mit 60% (Stand: 9. September 2026).
- Wann wird Best AI at the end of 2026? entschieden?
- Best AI at the end of 2026? soll am 31. Dezember 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Best AI at the end of 2026? abgerechnet?
- Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If Baidu has the top-ranked LLM on Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.