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  1. Prognosemärkte
  2. KI
  3. Best AI at the end of 2026?
Best AI at the end of 2026?

Best AI at the end of 2026?

4.5% (24h)KITechnikYearly6Mon
KalshiKalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% Gebühr
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Claude
Claude 67%-4.5%
Führend unter 7 Optionen
Marktqualitat

91 / 100

Hohe Qualität
24h-Volumen

439,8 €

Liquidität

30.720,9 €

Hohe Liquidität
Geld / Brief

66.0% / 67.0%

Spread

1.5%

Enger Spread
Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 1 Minute

1. Jan. 26, 15:0031. Dez. 26, 15:00

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit

Gewähltes Ergebnis

Claude67%

Regeln

If Baidu has the top-ranked LLM on Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • If two models are tied under Rank (UB), then the model with the highest Arena Score will win.
  • If two models are still tied after that, then the model with the most votes will win.
  • If two models are still tied after that, the model that was released earlier will win.
  • Important information: When checking the source for this market, check the 'Remove Style Control' toggle.
  • If Google has the top-ranked LLM on Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Verwandte Märkte

Best AI in Jun 2026?

Best AI in Jun 2026?

308,7 €
Claude: 90%KalshiKALSHI
Best AI this week

Best AI this week

264,6 €
ChatGPT: 2%KalshiKALSHI
Manifold Markets

Top AI Model 2026 (Epoch Capabilities Index, ECI)

5879,5 €
Google: 14.5%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?

Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?

1933,5 €
Ja: 6%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?

Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?

984,1 €
None in 2026: 70%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?

AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?

479,3 €
Ja: 26%PolymarketPOLYMARKET

In diesen Themen aktiv

BitcoinBTC$62,604.58+2.36%SolanaSOL$65.09+1.42%EthereumETH$1,650.76+1.70%DogecoinDOGE$0.085+1.77%BNBBNB$594.25+1.58%XRPXRP$1.12+0.22%

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Anthropic launches Claude Fable 5 with new safeguardsCrypto NewsEU orders Meta to restore WhatsApp access for rival AI chatbotsCrypto NewsJPMorgan plans longer-running AI agents for corporate workflows Crypto NewsOpenAI Files for IPO, Targets Valuation Up to $850BBlockchain.NewsOpenAI confidentially files to go public in the USCointelegraphNvidia expands South Korean AI partnerships across chips, cloud, and robotics Crypto News

Regeln

If Baidu has the top-ranked LLM on Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • If two models are tied under Rank (UB), then the model with the highest Arena Score will win.
  • If two models are still tied after that, then the model with the most votes will win.
  • If two models are still tied after that, the model that was released earlier will win.
  • Important information: When checking the source for this market, check the 'Remove Style Control' toggle.
  • If Google has the top-ranked LLM on Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.