KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlichVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertMittelwert des gewählten Orderbuchs
Before Dec 31, 2026 · —
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
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Gespeicherter Preis
Before Dec 31, 2026 98.5%Führend unter 9 Optionen
Before Dec 31, 2026 98.5%Marktqualitat
≤74 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
27.329,4 €
Open Interest
163.980,1 $
Hohes Open InterestGeld / Brief
— / —
Before Dec 31, 2026Spread
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Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 20 Minuten
20. Okt. 26, 03:30 UTC31. Dez. 26, 04:59 UTC
Chart und Änderungen zeigen gespeicherte historische Wahrscheinlichkeiten, nicht das gewählte aktuelle Orderbuch.
Trends
Gewählte Zeile: Orderbuch-Mittelwert. Andere Zeilen: gespeicherte, ggf. normalisierte Referenzwerte; 24h-Änderungen basieren auf gespeicherter Historie.
Before Sep 25, 2026Verloren
Before Oct 2, 2026Verloren
Before Oct 9, 2026Verloren
Before Oct 16, 2026Verloren
Before Oct 23, 2026Verloren
Before Oct 30, 2026Verloren
Before Nov 6, 2026Verloren
Handelsplatzbedingungen
Quelle: Kalshi
Diese Angaben dienen der Information; für den simulierten Handel bei CoinRithm gelten eigene Regeln.
- Vorzeitige Schließung:
- Ja
- Abrechnungsfrist:
- 30m (unverbindliche Angabe)
Markttiefe · Before Dec 31, 2026
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
When will OpenAI release GPT-7?
KalshiWhen will OpenAI release Astra 6.1?
Manifold MarketsOn what date will OpenAI release GPT-6.2 Astra?
Manifold MarketsWhen will OpenAI release a personal AI agent?
KalshiBefore 2027, will OpenAI release a frontier model with a 5:1 or better abstention to hallucination ratio on SimpleQA?
Manifold MarketsBefore 2027, will OpenAI release a Frontier Model trained according to their "Why LLMs hallucinate" paper?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
If OpenAI releases a model called Astra 6.1 or greater to the public before Nov 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:OpenAI
- Release must be to the public, outside of a closed beta, though limiting it to a high-cost subscription tier is acceptable.
Regeln für jedes Ergebnis
- Before Dec 31, 2026
- If OpenAI releases a model called Astra 6.1 or greater to the public before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Nov 13, 2026
- If OpenAI releases a model called Astra 6.1 or greater to the public before Nov 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Sep 25, 2026
- If OpenAI releases Astra 6.1 before Sep 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Oct 2, 2026
- If OpenAI releases Astra 6.1 before Oct 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Oct 9, 2026
- If OpenAI releases Astra 6.1 before Oct 9, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Oct 16, 2026
- If OpenAI releases Astra 6.1 before Oct 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Oct 23, 2026
- If OpenAI releases Astra 6.1 before Oct 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Oct 30, 2026
- If OpenAI releases Astra 6.1 before Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Nov 6, 2026
- If OpenAI releases a model called Astra 6.1 or greater to the public before Nov 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
