KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Before Dec 1, 2026 92%Führend unter 7 Optionen
Marktqualitat
50 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
194,7 €
Liquidität
7893,3 €
Mittlere LiquiditätSpread
5.0 pt
Mittlerer SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 7 Minuten
24. Aug. 26, 21:15 UTC1. Nov. 26, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
When will Google release Gemini 4?
KalshiNext Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
PolymarketNext Google Gemini Pro Model released on?
PolymarketNext Google Gemini Pro Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?
PolymarketGemini 3.5 Pro debut arena score
KalshiBy what factor will the cost per token of "Gemini 3 Pro equivalent" intelligence change this year?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
If Google releases next Gemini Pro model the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:Gemini
- Release must be to the public, outside of a closed beta, though limiting it to a high-cost subscription tier is acceptable.
Offene Märkte
AIKALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max-12.0pt72%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking4%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 135.247,6 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 102.709,4 €
POLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+6.5pt62.1%
- 2027-3.5pt28.4%
- 2026+2.0pt9.5%
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+3.5pt90%
- November 30,85%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-0.7pt61.4%
- ChatGPT-2.1pt22.8%
- Grok-0.1pt7.9%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 9,1 Mio. €
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
- ChatGPT-1.0pt11.2%
- Grok2.8%
+4 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 324.994,1 €
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-2.5pt66%
- 1490+-9.0pt51%
- 1500+-3.0pt23%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Next Gemini Pro model release?
- Kalshi bewertet Before Dec 1, 2026 mit 92% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Next Gemini Pro model release entschieden?
- Next Gemini Pro model release soll am 1. November 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Next Gemini Pro model release abgerechnet?
- Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If Google releases next Gemini Pro model the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.