Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
No release by November 1 35%+4.0ptFührend unter 11 Optionen
Marktqualitat
60 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
525,1 €
Liquidität
10.298,4 €
Mittlere LiquiditätSpread
2.0 pt
Enger SpreadKommentare
0
7d-Änderung
+2.5 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 10 Minuten
17. Aug. 26, 23:32 UTC1. Nov. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
0%
0%
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on?
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PolymarketNext Gemini Pro model release
KalshiWill Google Gemini hack a company during testing before Gemini 3.5 Pro/Gemini 4 Pro gets released?
Manifold MarketsWill Microsoft add Google Gemini as a selectable model in Excel Agent Mode by end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
- Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview).
- Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
- Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
- A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups.
- A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.