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  1. Prognosemärkte
  2. KI
  3. Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Arena Debut?
Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Arena Debut?

Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Arena Debut?

6.0% (24h)KITechnikOne-Off
PolymarketPolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% Gebühr
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
1480+
1480+ 88%+12.8%
Führend unter 5 Optionen
Marktqualitat

52 / 100

Mittlere Qualität
24h-Volumen

1442,5 €

Liquidität

5217,8 €

Mittlere Liquidität
Geld / Brief

4.0% / 9.0%

Spread

125.0%

Breiter Spread
7d-Änderung

-9.0%

Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 8 Minuten

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit

Gewähltes Ergebnis

1480+88%

Regeln

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena.AI Leaderboard (arena.ai/leaderboard/text) has at least the specified score at 12:00 PM ET on the calendar date following the date on which it first appears on the leaderboard.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • Any Gemini model newly added to the leaderboard and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-2.5-pro, gemini-3-pro, or gemini-3.1-pro-preview).
  • Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
  • Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
  • This market will resolve solely based on the specified score in the Score column of the leaderboard, regardless of any underlying granular or unrounded data presented elsewhere.

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In diesen Themen aktiv

BitcoinBTC$62,702.01+1.68%EthereumETH$1,655.40+1.08%SolanaSOL$65.06+0.76%DogecoinDOGE$0.0849+0.94%BNBBNB$596.31+1.29%XRPXRP$1.12-0.20%

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Regeln

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena.AI Leaderboard (arena.ai/leaderboard/text) has at least the specified score at 12:00 PM ET on the calendar date following the date on which it first appears on the leaderboard.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • Any Gemini model newly added to the leaderboard and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-2.5-pro, gemini-3-pro, or gemini-3.1-pro-preview).
  • Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
  • Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
  • This market will resolve solely based on the specified score in the Score column of the leaderboard, regardless of any underlying granular or unrounded data presented elsewhere.