Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
1480+ 85%-9.2ptFührend unter 5 Optionen
Marktqualitat
64 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
4883,6 €
Liquidität
3854,1 €
Mittlere LiquiditätSpread
1.2 pt
Enger SpreadKommentare
2
7d-Änderung
-10.4 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 12 Minuten
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?
PolymarketNext Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
PolymarketNext Google Gemini Pro Model released on?
PolymarketWill Google Gemini hack a company during testing before the next Gemini Pro model gets released?
Manifold MarketsGemini 3.5 Pro debut arena score
KalshiNext Gemini Pro model release
KalshiRegeln
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena.AI Leaderboard (arena.ai/leaderboard/text) has at least the specified score at 12:00 PM ET on the calendar date following the date on which it first appears on the leaderboard.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Any Gemini model newly added to the leaderboard and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-2.5-pro, gemini-3-pro, or gemini-3.1-pro-preview).
- Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
- Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
- This market will resolve solely based on the specified score in the Score column of the leaderboard, regardless of any underlying granular or unrounded data presented elsewhere.