KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlichVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertMittelwert des gewählten Orderbuchs
above 1490 · —
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
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Gespeicherter Preis
above 1490 17.5%Führend unter 7 Optionen
above 1490 17.5%Marktqualitat
37 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
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Open Interest
34.795,2 $
Hohes Open InterestGeld / Brief
— / —
above 1490Spread
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Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 3 Minuten
25. Juni 26, 22:30 UTC1. Jan. 27, 15:00 UTC
Chart und Änderungen zeigen gespeicherte historische Wahrscheinlichkeiten, nicht das gewählte aktuelle Orderbuch.
Trends
Gewählte Zeile: Orderbuch-Mittelwert. Andere Zeilen: gespeicherte, ggf. normalisierte Referenzwerte; 24h-Änderungen basieren auf gespeicherter Historie.
Handelsplatzbedingungen
Quelle: Kalshi
Diese Angaben dienen der Information; für den simulierten Handel bei CoinRithm gelten eigene Regeln.
- Vorzeitige Schließung:
- Ja
- Abrechnungsfrist:
- 30m (unverbindliche Angabe)
Markttiefe · above 1490
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will any European model listed on arena.ai agent arena have a higher score than Gemini 3.1 Pro Preview by end 2026?
Manifold MarketsNext Google Gemini Pro Model: Arena Debut?
PolymarketNext Google Gemini Pro Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?
PolymarketNext Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
PolymarketWhen will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released?
PolymarketNext Gemini Pro model release
KalshiRegeln
If A model called Gemini 3.5 Pro or greater scores above 1490 on Arena AI Text Score (Remove Style Control) Before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:LM Arena Leaderboard (Remove Style Control)
- Any Gemini model added to the leaderboard labeled as "Gemini 3.5 Pro" or greater will qualify. If multiple qualifying models are added, the highest scoring model will be used for resolution. Models added following the initial qualifying model will not count.
Regeln für jedes Ergebnis
- above 1490
- If A model called Gemini 3.5 Pro or greater scores above 1490 on Arena AI Text Score (Remove Style Control) Before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- above 1495
- If A model called Gemini 3.5 Pro or greater scores above 1495 on Arena AI Text Score (Remove Style Control) Before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- above 1515
- If A model called Gemini 3.5 Pro or greater scores above 1515 on Arena AI Text Score (Remove Style Control) Before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- above 1500
- If A model called Gemini 3.5 Pro or greater scores above 1500 on Arena AI Text Score (Remove Style Control) Before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- above 1505
- If A model called Gemini 3.5 Pro or greater scores above 1505 on Arena AI Text Score (Remove Style Control) Before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- above 1510
- If A model called Gemini 3.5 Pro or greater scores above 1510 on Arena AI Text Score (Remove Style Control) Before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- above 1520
- If A model called Gemini 3.5 Pro or greater scores above 1520 on Arena AI Text Score (Remove Style Control) Before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.