Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Alibaba 45.1%+1.0ptFührend unter 11 OptionenMargenbereinigt: Die Rohquoten summierten sich auf über 100 % und wurden normalisiert.
Marktqualitat
60 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
347,7 €
Liquidität
4802,3 €
Mittlere LiquiditätSpread
3.7 pt
Mittlerer SpreadKommentare
0
7d-Änderung
+2.1 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 10 Minuten
12. Aug. 26, 23:55 UTC1. Nov. 26, 03:59 UTC
Trends
0%
0%
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
PolymarketSecond-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?
PolymarketThird-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?
PolymarketTop Chinese AI Company week of September 14th
KalshiTop Chinese AI Company week of September 7th
KalshiTop Chinese AI Company this month
KalshiRegeln
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank among primarily Chinese companies, based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
- Chinese Companies include but are not limited to Alibaba, Moonshot, Baidu, Z.ai, Xiaomi, DeepSeek, ByteDance, MiniMax, Meituan, Tencent, and StepFun.
- Companies not headquartered in China or not primarily owned or operating within the Chinese technology ecosystem are not considered primarily Chinese.
- Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
- Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
- Qualifying Chinese Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time.
Offene Märkte
ChinaPOLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No-0.1pt96%
- Yes+0.1pt4%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 35,3 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 100.050,2 €
POLYMARKETXi Jinping out before 2027?
- No+0.2pt96%
- Yes-0.2pt4%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 11,3 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 38.741,3 €
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Beijing on September 9?
- 26°C+18.0pt56.1%
- 27°C-3.0pt19.6%
- 25°C-3.5pt15.9%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETChina x Philippines military clash before 2027?
- No-0.5pt72.3%
- Yes+0.5pt27.7%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 356.323,2 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 13.462,8 €
POLYMARKETWill Xi Jinping visit US by which date?
- October 31+1.6pt98%
- December 31+1.6pt97%
- September 3095%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
- No+1.0pt89.1%
- Yes-1.0pt10.9%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 2,7 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 11.045,3 €
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- China x Japan military clash before 2027?
- Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Best Chinese AI Company end of October??
- Polymarket bewertet Alibaba mit 45% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Best Chinese AI Company end of October? entschieden?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of October? soll am 1. November 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Best Chinese AI Company end of October? abgerechnet?
- Polymarket rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank among primarily Chinese companies, based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.