Mittelwert des gewählten Orderbuchs
December 31 · —
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
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Gespeicherter Referenzwert
December 31 97%Führend unter 4 Optionen
December 31 97%Marktqualitat
66 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
26.884,7 €
Liquidität
7619,6 €
Mittlere LiquiditätOpen Interest
13.580,8 $
Geld / Brief
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December 31Spread
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Kommentare
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Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 8 Minuten
26. Okt. 26, 17:03 UTC1. Jan. 27, 04:59 UTC
Chart und Änderungen zeigen gespeicherte historische Wahrscheinlichkeiten, nicht das gewählte aktuelle Orderbuch.
Trends
Gewählte Zeile: Orderbuch-Mittelwert. Andere Zeilen: gespeicherte, ggf. normalisierte Referenzwerte; 24h-Änderungen basieren auf gespeicherter Historie.
Handelsplatzbedingungen
Quelle: Polymarket
Diese Angaben dienen der Information; für den simulierten Handel bei CoinRithm gelten eigene Regeln.
- Mindestorder (Anteile):
- 5
- Preisschritt:
- 0,1 Prozentpunkte
- Gebühren:
- Nein
Größte Inhaber
Größte Inhaber werden geladen
Markttiefe · December 31
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Best AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiWhich company has best AI model end of 2026?
PolymarketWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
PolymarketWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
PolymarketMoonshot AI share of spend on Oct 28, 2026 (Vercel)
KalshiLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
PolymarketRegeln
On October 9, 2026, Business Insider reported that Google employees were internally testing a Gemini 4 model codenamed "Carbon," separate from the checkpoint later released as Gemini 4 Argon (https://www.businessinsider.com/google-employees-test-new-gemini-4-model-argon-barium-carbon-2026-10).
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google releases "Carbon" or a model confirmed to be the same model referenced in the report described above, and that model is made available to the general public by the listed date (ET).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A qualifying model must be a Google AI model named "Carbon" (including variants or successor branding such as Gemini Carbon, Gemini 4 Carbon, or similar naming) or be confirmed to be the same model referenced in the report by Google or by a consensus of credible reporting.
- A model released under any other name, including a new Gemini model (e.g., Gemini 4.1) or an update to Gemini 4 Argon (including an update released under Argon's existing name or model identifier), will qualify only if it is confirmed by the listed date to be the same model previously codenamed "Carbon".
- Models merely derived from, distilled from, or incorporating improvements from Carbon will not qualify unless confirmed to be the same model.