KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlichVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Claude 88.5%+20.0ptFührend unter 9 OptionenMargenbereinigt: Die Rohquoten summierten sich auf über 100 % und wurden normalisiert.
Claude 88.5%+20.0ptMarktqualitat
44 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
502,9 €
Open Interest
4850,6 €
Mittleres Open InterestSpread
23.0 pt
Breiter SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 24 Minuten
30. Sept. 26, 17:30 UTC31. Okt. 26, 14:00 UTC
Trends
Handelsplatzbedingungen
Quelle: Kalshi
Diese Angaben dienen der Information; für den simulierten Handel bei CoinRithm gelten eigene Regeln.
- Vorzeitige Schließung:
- Ja
- Abrechnungsfrist:
- 30m (unverbindliche Angabe)
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Top Coding AI this week
KalshiTop coding AI this month (DeepSWE)
KalshiAt the end of 2026 will there be any European model that ranks higher than Mistral Medium 3.5 on arena.ai agent arena?
Manifold MarketsWill any European model listed on arena.ai agent arena have a higher score than Gemini 3.1 Pro Preview by end 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhich lab will have the #1 model on the arena.ai Text leaderboard on October 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWho will have the top model on arena.ai Agent Arena accessible through a <$20/mo subscription on November 1st 2026?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
If Claude is the #1 model on LM Code Arena Leaderboard on Oct 31, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:LMArena Code
- Tied rankings shall be resolved using the publisher's official tie-breaking methodology; if none exists, all tied entities share the highest rank among them. If multiple candidates are tied for a given rank, then their Contracts will resolve to $1/(the number of candidates tied), rounded down. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Regeln für jedes Ergebnis
- Claude
- If Claude is the #1 model on LM Code Arena Leaderboard on Oct 31, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Gemini
- If Gemini is the #1 model on LM Code Arena Leaderboard on Oct 31, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- ChatGPT
- If ChatGPT is the #1 model on LM Code Arena Leaderboard on Oct 31, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Qwen
- If Qwen is the #1 model on LM Code Arena Leaderboard on Oct 31, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Grok
- If Grok is the #1 model on LM Code Arena Leaderboard on Oct 31, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Dola
- If Dola is the #1 model on LM Code Arena Leaderboard on Oct 31, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- GLM
- If GLM is the #1 model on LM Code Arena Leaderboard on Oct 31, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Kimi
- If Kimi is the #1 model on LM Code Arena Leaderboard on Oct 31, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- MiniMax
- If MiniMax is the #1 model on LM Code Arena Leaderboard on Oct 31, 2026 at 10:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
