Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
November 30 89%+3.0ptFührend unter 7 Optionen
Marktqualitat
71 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
5243 €
Liquidität
39.494,4 €
Hohe LiquiditätSpread
1.0 pt
Enger SpreadKommentare
17
7d-Änderung
-22.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 12 Minuten
12. Dez. 25, 21:47 UTC1. Dez. 26, 04:59 UTC
Trends
0%
0%
0%
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Gemini 4 released in 2026?
Manifold MarketsBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiAI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
PolymarketWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
PolymarketWhich company has best AI model end of 2026?
PolymarketWill ANOTHER millennium prize problem be solved in 2026?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's Gemini 4.0 Flash model is made available to the general public by the listed date.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- For this market to resolve to "Yes," Gemini 4.0 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups.
- A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
- The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public.
- Gemini 4.0 refers to a product explicitly named Gemini 4.0 or one that is recognized as a successor to Gemini 3 similar to the progression from Gemini 2.0 to Gemini 3.
Offene Märkte
AIKALSHIWhat will Trump say during The Ingraham Angle?
- Tariff99%
- AI / Artificial Intelligence99%
- Fake News99%
+24 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 94.203 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 94.202 €
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+2.2pt67.7%
- ChatGPT-4.8pt15.7%
- Gemini-0.4pt6.9%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 9,3 Mio. €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+1.5pt91%
- December 15,+4.5pt90%
- November 30,+5.5pt89%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+8.0pt89.4%
- Muse+1.0pt2.9%
- ChatGPT-8.0pt1.9%
+4 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 416.342,5 €
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-64.6pt3%
- 1490+-39.9pt1%
- 1500+-25.4pt1%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETAI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- 2027-3.0pt85%
- 2026+1.5pt73%
- September 30, 2026-4.5pt39%
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- Anthropic market share this week
- How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?
- DeepSeek market share this week
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Gemini 4.0 released by which date??
- Polymarket bewertet November 30 mit 89% (Stand: 12. September 2026).
- Wann wird Gemini 4.0 released by which date? entschieden?
- Gemini 4.0 released by which date? soll am 1. Dezember 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Gemini 4.0 released by which date? abgerechnet?
- Polymarket rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's Gemini 4.0 Flash model is made available to the general public by the listed date.