Warnung zur DatenqualitätKeine aktiven Kurse
Daten vom 29.07.2026, 07:40 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-3
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
July 31 1%
Marktqualitat
49 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
0 €
Liquidität
9740,4 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
0.2% / 0.8%
Spread
0.6 pt
Enger Spread7d-Änderung
-0.5 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 29 Minuten
12. Dez. 25, 21:4731. Juli 26, 0:00
Trends
0%
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
July 311%
Volumentrend
$1.3k2. Juli26T Daten29. Juli
Verwandte Märkte
Which company has best AI model end of July?
69.839,9 €Anthropic: 100%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
14.791,5 €August 31: 88%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETWhich company has best AI model end of 2026?
10.293,4 €Anthropic: 68%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
When will a non-SpaceX successfully reusable booster be first launched?
6172,5 €By Dec 31, 2025: 74%
MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSAnthropic acquired by Apple before 2030?
1769,9 €Ja: 2.3%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill Sam Altman become more cautious about AGI/ASI development after having a child?
1764,1 €Ja: 7.6%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSIn diesen Themen aktiv
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's Gemini 4.0 Flash model is made available to the general public by the listed date.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- For this market to resolve to "Yes," Gemini 4.0 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups.
- A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
- The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public.
- Gemini 4.0 refers to a product explicitly named Gemini 4.0 or one that is recognized as a successor to Gemini 3 similar to the progression from Gemini 2.0 to Gemini 3.