Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
0 76%Führend unter 6 Optionen
Marktqualitat
37 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
335,8 €
Liquidität
3308,7 €
Mittlere LiquiditätSpread
16.0 pt
Breiter SpreadKommentare
0
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 9 Minuten
9. Sept. 26, 16:05 UTC1. Jan. 27, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Which math problems will AI solve in 2026?
PolymarketWill there be a verified AI-assisted solution to one of the Millennium Prize problems by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhich AI lab will be the first to solve a millennium prize problem?
Manifold MarketsAnthropic Claims to Solve a Millennium Prize Problem before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWhich Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?
PolymarketWill OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution?
KalshiRegeln
This market will resolve according to the number of distinct qualifying Millennium Prize Problems for which an eligible AI lab announces a solution by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Each qualifying problem is counted once, regardless of how many eligible AI labs announce a solution to it or how many announcements are made.
- The qualifying problems are, in alphabetical order, the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture, the Hodge Conjecture, P versus NP, the Riemann Hypothesis, and the Yang-Mills existence and mass gap problem (https://www.claymath.org/millennium-problems/).
- Announcements concerning the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness problem will not qualify.
- A qualifying announcement must be made by an eligible AI lab or an official representative of the lab, and must express that the problem has been solved; announcements of partial results or progress toward a solution will not qualify.
- The announcement must present the solution as the work of the lab, its researchers, or its models, alone or jointly with outside researchers.