Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer 56%Führend unter 14 Optionen
Marktqualitat
32 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
337,4 €
Liquidität
621,2 €
Niedrige LiquiditätSpread
57.0 pt
Breiter SpreadKommentare
0
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 12 Minuten
9. Sept. 26, 19:44 UTC1. Jan. 27, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?
PolymarketWill an AI make a new breakthrough on the hardest math problems, as defined by Epoch AI, by the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsWhich Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?
PolymarketWill an AI solve a Millennium problem by EOY 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill an AI solve any important mathematical conjecture before January 1st, 2030?
Manifold MarketsSecond-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?
PolymarketRegeln
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an eligible AI lab announces a solution to the problem specified in the title by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A qualifying announcement must be made by an eligible AI lab or an official representative of the lab, and must express that the problem specified in the title has been solved; announcements of partial results or progress toward a solution will not qualify.
- The announcement must present the solution as the work of the lab, its researchers, or its models, alone or jointly with outside researchers.
- An announcement that only credits or congratulates outside researchers, including researchers who used the lab's models, compute, or research credits, will not qualify.
- No further confirmation from the Clay Mathematics Institute or any other organization is required.
Offene Märkte
AI
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-3.0pt56.3%
- ChatGPT-3.3pt24.3%
- Grok+2.4pt7.8%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 9,2 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 102.085 €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,89%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,-1.0pt84%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 2,4 Mio. €
KALSHIWhat will Spotify CEO say during Goldman Sachs Communacopia?
- Anthropic / Claude+62.0pt99%
- Video+55.0pt99%
- Royalty / Licensing+63.0pt99%
+14 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETAI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- 2027-0.5pt62.5%
- 2026-10.0pt25%
- September 30, 2026-4.0pt12.5%
POLYMARKETWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- ↑$1.25T+1.3pt100%
- ↑$1.1T+3.6pt100%
- ↑$1.0T+2.4pt100%
+10 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHITencent market share this week
- Above 4.1%+8.0pt99%
- Above 3.7%+1.0pt99%
- Above 2.2%99%
+6 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 44.371,8 €
- Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Anthropic market share this week
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- OpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- What will Macy's say during their next earnings call?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- Gemini 4.0 released by which date?
- Time's Person of the Year for 2026
- OpenAI market share this week
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Which math problems will AI solve in 2026??
- Polymarket bewertet Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer mit 56% (Stand: 10. September 2026).
- Wann wird Which math problems will AI solve in 2026? entschieden?
- Which math problems will AI solve in 2026? soll am 1. Januar 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Which math problems will AI solve in 2026? abgerechnet?
- Polymarket rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: This market will resolve to "Yes" if an eligible AI lab announces a solution to the problem specified in the title by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.