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Daten vom 27.10.2026, 14:45 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-4
Mittelwert des gewählten Orderbuchs
Gemini · —
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
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Gespeicherter Preis
Gemini 84.5%Führend unter 9 Optionen
Gemini 84.5%Marktqualitat
71 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
41.976,4 €
Open Interest
44.587,2 $
Hohes Open InterestGeld / Brief
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GeminiSpread
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Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 14 Minuten
26. Okt. 26, 16:00 UTC2. Nov. 26, 15:00 UTC
Chart und Änderungen zeigen gespeicherte historische Wahrscheinlichkeiten, nicht das gewählte aktuelle Orderbuch.
Trends
Gewählte Zeile: Orderbuch-Mittelwert. Andere Zeilen: gespeicherte, ggf. normalisierte Referenzwerte; 24h-Änderungen basieren auf gespeicherter Historie.
Handelsplatzbedingungen
Quelle: Kalshi
Diese Angaben dienen der Information; für den simulierten Handel bei CoinRithm gelten eigene Regeln.
- Vorzeitige Schließung:
- Ja
- Abrechnungsfrist:
- 1h (unverbindliche Angabe)
Markttiefe · Gemini
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Best AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiBest AI in Oct 2026?
KalshiWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
PolymarketWhich company has best AI model end of 2026?
PolymarketWhich company has the best AI model end of November?
PolymarketWhich company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of October?
PolymarketRegeln
If Google has the top-ranked LLM on Nov 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:LM Arena Leaderboard (Remove Style Control)
- If two models are tied under Rank (UB), then the model with the highest Arena Score will win. If two models are still tied after that, then the model with the most votes will win. If two models are still tied after that, the model that was released earlier will win. Important information: When checking the source for this market, check the 'Remove Style Control' toggle.
Regeln für jedes Ergebnis
- Gemini
- If Google has the top-ranked LLM on Nov 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Claude
- If Anthropic has the top-ranked LLM on Nov 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- ChatGPT
- If OpenAI has the top-ranked LLM on Nov 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Kimi
- If Moonshot has the top-ranked LLM on Nov 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- MUSE
- If Meta has the top-ranked LLM on Nov 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Qwen
- If Alibaba has the top-ranked LLM on Nov 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Grok
- If xAI has the top-ranked LLM on Nov 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Dola
- If ByteDance has the top-ranked LLM on Nov 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Amazon Nova
- If Amazon has the top-ranked LLM on Nov 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.