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  1. Prognosemärkte
  2. KI
  3. Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by September 30?
Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by September 30?

Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by September 30?

1.0% (24h)KITechnikOne-Off3Mon
PolymarketPolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% Gebühr
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
1510
1510 80%-1.0%
Führend unter 5 Optionen
Marktqualitat

79 / 100

Hohe Qualität
24h-Volumen

242,3 €

Liquidität

10.926,1 €

Mittlere Liquidität
Geld / Brief

38.0% / 39.0%

Spread

2.6%

Enger Spread
7d-Änderung

-2.0%

Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 2 Minuten

2. Apr. 26, 22:1430. Sept. 26, 0:00

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit

Gewähltes Ergebnis

151080%

Regeln

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model on the Arena.AI Leaderboard (arena.ai/leaderboard/text) reaches at least the specified Arena Score by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
  • The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at arena.ai/leaderboard/text.
  • If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available.
  • If permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".

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In diesen Themen aktiv

BitcoinBTC$62,907.23+2.67%EthereumETH$1,660.19+2.45%SolanaSOL$65.45+3.06%DogecoinDOGE$0.0851+1.96%BNBBNB$600.30+2.65%XRPXRP$1.12+1.01%

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Regeln

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model on the Arena.AI Leaderboard (arena.ai/leaderboard/text) reaches at least the specified Arena Score by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
  • The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at arena.ai/leaderboard/text.
  • If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available.
  • If permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".