PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührAktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitAnthropic 83%+0.1%
Marktqualitat
88 / 100
Hohe Qualität24h-Volumen
9769,7 €
Liquidität
20.566,3 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
82.0% / 83.0%
Spread
1.2%
Enger Spread7d-Änderung
+10.0%
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 3 Minuten
30. Jan. 26, 22:4731. Dez. 27, 0:00
Trends
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Anthropic83%
Auch verfügbar auf Kalshi
Will OpenAI or Anthropic IPO first?
12.0%13J
-12.0%18%
+9.0%81%
28 • Niedrige QualitätBreiter SpreadNiedrige LiquiditätDünner Markt
Gesamtvolumen2252,6 €
24h-Volumen80,5 €
KALSHI
Auch verfügbar auf Manifold Markets
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
6Mon
15.3%
84.7%
Community-Prognose66 PrognostikerTyp: multiple choice
Gesamtvolumen13.821,7 €
24h-Volumen505,4 €
MANIFOLD MARKETSRegeln
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
- This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
- This market will resolve 50-50 if: - Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET; - Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or - By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
- The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
- The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
Verwandte Märkte
In diesen Themen aktiv
Verwandte Nachrichten
Anthropic launches Claude Fable 5 with new safeguardsCrypto News
EU orders Meta to restore WhatsApp access for rival AI chatbotsCrypto News
JPMorgan plans longer-running AI agents for corporate workflows Crypto News
OpenAI Files for IPO, Targets Valuation Up to $850BBlockchain.News
OpenAI confidentially files to go public in the USCointelegraph
Nvidia expands South Korean AI partnerships across chips, cloud, and robotics Crypto NewsRegeln
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
- This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
- This market will resolve 50-50 if: - Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET; - Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or - By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
- The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
- The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.