PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Anthropic 96%
Marktqualitat
69 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
8,9 €
Liquidität
39.763,2 €
Hohe LiquiditätGeld / Brief
96.4% / 96.5%
Spread
0.1 pt
Enger SpreadKommentare
3
7d-Änderung
+1.4 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 8 Minuten
30. Jan. 26, 22:45 UTC31. Dez. 27, 00:00 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Max (Anthropic, OpenAI annualized revenue) by end of 2027?
Manifold Marketsthird wave of philanthropy seems to be happening within a year of anthropic&openai IPO?
Manifold MarketsWill Anthropic and OpenAI IPO in the same month?
Manifold MarketsAnthropic or OpenAI: higher IPO closing market cap?
PolymarketOpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
PolymarketOpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ?
PolymarketRegeln
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
- This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
- This market will resolve 50-50 if: - Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET; - Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or - By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
- The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
- The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Vergleich von Prognosequellen
2 Handelsplätze bepreisen diesen Markt derzeit. Die liquiditätsgewichtete Referenzwahrscheinlichkeit von CoinRithm für Anthropic liegt bei 95%. Die Kurse liegen rund 1 Prozentpunkt auseinander.
CoinRithm-Referenz Anthropic 95% · 2 Plattformen · 1 Pkt. Venue-Spanne
Offene Märkte
AIPOLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028-11.0pt62.4%
- 2027-3.5pt29.7%
- 2026-1.5pt7.9%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 241.307,2 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 128.006,7 €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-2.0pt88%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,+1.0pt85%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-1.7pt58.8%
- ChatGPT-2.1pt23.5%
- Grok+2.3pt7.8%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 9,1 Mio. €
KALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max+1.0pt72%
- claude-opus-5-max+3.0pt10%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking+1.0pt5%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+5.0pt97%
- Before Jan 1, 2027+5.0pt96%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt94%
+9 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+1.0pt80.6%
- ChatGPT-2.0pt10.2%
- Gemini+1.0pt2.8%
+4 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 349.424,1 €
- Gemini 4.0 released by which date?
- OpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- Tencent market share this week
- Anthropic market share this week
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- OpenAI market share this week
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- Most popular AI this week
- DeepSeek market share this week
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first??
- Polymarket bewertet Anthropic mit 96% (Stand: 9. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? entschieden?
- Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? soll am 31. Dezember 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? abgerechnet?
- Polymarket rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
- Wo wird Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? außerdem gelistet?
- Dieselbe Frage wird auch auf Manifold Markets, Kalshi gelistet.