PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitAnthropic 89%
Marktqualitat
71 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
180,8 €
Liquidität
16.799,4 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
88.0% / 90.0%
Spread
2.3%
Enger Spread7d-Änderung
+5.5%
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 14 Minuten
30. Jan. 26, 22:4531. Dez. 27, 0:00
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Anthropic89%
Plattformen vergleichen· Anthropic
Sortiert nach Marktqualität, dann Liquidität und 24-h-Volumen| Plattform | Qualität | Wahrscheinlichkeit | vs. Referenz | 24h Vol | Liq | Aktualität | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketDiese SeiteBeste insgesamt | Mittel | 89% | +8pt | 180,8 € | 16.799,4 € | vor 14 Minuten | |
 KalshiAktivste80% Übereinstimmung · geprüft | Mittel | 81% | 0pt | 2529,9 € | 69.903,6 € | vor 14 Minuten | Öffnen → |
 Manifold Markets80% Übereinstimmung · geprüft | — | 85% | +4pt | — | — | vor 6 Tagen | Öffnen → |
Auch verfügbar auf Kalshi
Will OpenAI or Anthropic IPO first?
2.0%13J
-4.0%81%
+2.0%18%
64 • Mittlere QualitätBreiter SpreadHohe Liquidität
Gesamtvolumen279.477,6 €
24h-Volumen2529,9 €
KALSHIAuch verfügbar auf Manifold Markets
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
5Mon
+2.3%85.3%
-2.3%14.7%
Community-Prognose71 PrognostikerTyp: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSRegeln
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
- This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
- This market will resolve 50-50 if: - Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET; - Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or - By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
- The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
- The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
Volumentrend
$2063. Juli24T Daten26. Juli
Verwandte Märkte
Anthropic IPO by __?
18.562,5 €December 31,: 72%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
7468,9 €Before Sep 1, 2026: 3%KALSHI
KALSHI
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
4139,2 €SpaceX: 86%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
2785 €↑$1.1T: 100%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Which companies will officially announce an IPO this year?
2004 €DeepSeek: 8%KALSHI
KALSHIWho invades first: China (Taiwan) or U.S. (Greenland)?
1145,2 €China invades Taiwan first: 11.9%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSIn diesen Themen aktiv
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This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
- This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
- This market will resolve 50-50 if: - Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET; - Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or - By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
- The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
- The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.