Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseAnthropic 93.6%
Prognostiker
79
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
-1.9 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 15 Stunden
Veraltet6. Dez. 25, 22:24 UTC31. Dez. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
How many Anthropic/OpenAI employees will resign in September 2026 due to ethical concerns?
Manifold MarketsAnthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?
PolymarketWhich of Anthropic and OpenAI will get more credit for the Navier-Stokes solution, in my judgement?
Manifold MarketsWill Anthropic or OpenAI introduce a US$2000 per month consumer-facing plan in 2026?
Manifold MarketsAnthropic + OpenAI vs Microsoft - higher valuation on December 31?
PolymarketAnthropic or OpenAI: higher IPO closing market cap?
PolymarketRegeln
OpenAI’s financial situation suggests an IPO will be necessary to fund announced spending.
- Anthropic is heading for a much earlier breakeven.
- Both companies are rumoured to be considering an IPO.
- Who will be first? Resolves the day of the first IPO.
- If there is no IPO, it doesn’t resolve.
Vergleich von Prognosequellen
Offene Märkte
AIPOLYMARKETAI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- 2027+24.5pt89%
- 2026+59.0pt82%
- September 30, 2026+56.0pt63%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 93.738,4 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 59.491 €
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+0.9pt58.1%
- ChatGPT+1.0pt22.9%
- Grok+3.2pt8.6%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 9,2 Mio. €
POLYMARKETOpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- 2027+53.0pt93%
- 2026+53.5pt73%
- September 30, 2026+51.5pt57%
KALSHIAnthropic market share this week
- Above 2.25%-7.0pt88%
- Above 2.45%79%
- Above 2.6%+16.0pt56%
+6 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 60.772,6 €
POLYMARKETWhich Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?
- Hodge Conjecture50.5%
- Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer27.1%
- No solution by Dec 31, 202710.3%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 32.328,3 €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+1.0pt89%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,84%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 2,4 Mio. €
- Tencent market share this week
- Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Anthropic announces a Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- DeepSeek market share this week
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- Time's Person of the Year for 2026
- OpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first??
- Manifold Markets bewertet Anthropic mit 94% (Stand: 10. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? entschieden?
- Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? soll am 31. Dezember 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: OpenAI’s financial situation suggests an IPO will be necessary to fund announced spending.
- Wo wird Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? außerdem gelistet?
- Dieselbe Frage wird auch auf Polymarket, Kalshi gelistet.