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Fragetyp
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Quellentyp
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Aktualisiert vor 39 Minuten
10. Aug. 26, 11:01 UTC5. Jan. 27, 23:59 UTC
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Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Anthropic annualized revenue run rate by end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsOpenAI annualized revenue run rate by end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhen will Anthropic surpass 30B revenue run rate?
Manifold MarketsWhat will OpenAI + Anthropic's combined annualized revenue run rate (ARR) be at year-end 2027?
Manifold MarketsAnthropic + OpenAI vs Microsoft - higher valuation on December 31?
PolymarketAnthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?
PolymarketRegeln
Resolution criteria: this market resolves YES if, as of December 31, 2026 (the RESOLUTION_DEADLINE), either Anthropic's or OpenAI's annualized revenue run rate exceeds the COMBINED annualized revenue run rate of Tesla, SpaceX, and X (Twitter) as of the same date.
- Annualized revenue run rate is defined as the most recent quarter's or month's revenue multiplied out to a full year (quarterly revenue times 4, or monthly revenue times 12), or the most recently reported ARR figure from the company itself or credible reporting, whichever is more current and specific.
- Musk combined total is the sum of Tesla's, SpaceX's, and X's individually computed run rates as described above.
- Sources: official company filings and earnings reports where available (Tesla and SpaceX are both public companies as of 2026 and report quarterly).
- For figures not officially disclosed (Anthropic, OpenAI, X), credible reporting from major financial or technology outlets (Bloomberg, The Information, Reuters, CNBC, or similar) is used, weighting the most recent, most specific, and most corroborated figures most heavily.
- Resolves NO if neither Anthropic's nor OpenAI's run rate exceeds the combined Musk total as of the deadline.
