Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-Prognose>=$25B 100%Führend unter 8 Optionen
Prognostiker
28
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 9 Stunden
Veraltet2. Juli 25, 13:54 UTC31. Dez. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
100%
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Anthropic annualized revenue run rate by end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Anthropic or OpenAI revenue run rate exceed Tesla, SpaceX, and X combined by Dec 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsAnthropic highest annualized revenue run rate by end of September 2026
Manifold MarketsTop AI model in September?
KalshiBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiAnthropic IPO by which date?
PolymarketRegeln
Will OpenAI achieve the following annualized revenue or annualized recurring revenue (ARR) rates at any point on or before December 31, 2026? Based on company statements or credible reporting from outlets like CNBC, Bloomberg, The Information, etc.
- No grace period: report must occur by December 31
Offene Märkte
AIKALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max+60.0pt71%
- claude-opus-5-max+1.0pt7%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking4%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 132.799,7 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 100.316,6 €
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+4.8pt60.8%
- ChatGPT+0.5pt25.5%
- Grok-3.4pt5.9%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 9,1 Mio. €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+1.0pt86%
- November 30,84%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
POLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+22.0pt62.2%
- 2027+11.0pt28.6%
- 2026+4.5pt9.2%
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+5.0pt80.4%
- ChatGPT-2.0pt12.2%
- Grok2.8%
+4 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 322.392,1 €
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-1.0pt66%
- 1490+-3.5pt51%
- 1500+-1.0pt30%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
- OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für OpenAI annualized revenue run rate by end of 2026??
- Manifold Markets bewertet >=$25B mit 100% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird OpenAI annualized revenue run rate by end of 2026? entschieden?
- OpenAI annualized revenue run rate by end of 2026? soll am 31. Dezember 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird OpenAI annualized revenue run rate by end of 2026? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Will OpenAI achieve the following annualized revenue or annualized recurring revenue (ARR) rates at any point on or before December 31, 2026? Based on company statements or credible reporting from outlets like CNBC, Bloomberg, The Information, etc.