third wave of philanthropy seems to be happening within a year of anthropic&openai IPO?
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Veraltet23. Mai 26, 16:58 UTC1. Juli 27, 16:55 UTC
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work in progress, will we see substantial charitable giving from the EA’s due to the ai labs IPOing?
- could resolve to my opinion or some tens of billions donated within the first year after both labs have ipo’d.
- reference: https://open.substack.com/pub/nanransohoff/p/the-third-wave-of-american-philanthropy?r=2jhh1&utm_medium=ios
- Update 2026-05-25 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment):
- New commitments/pledges that are hard to wiggle out of (not just actual grants) can count as evidence for YES resolution, or could at least contribute to a percentage resolution.
- Political donations may count if they are primarily directed towards candidates that are running on charitable causes (e.g., animal welfare, AI safety)
Offene Märkte
Corporate Actions
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
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- December 15,-1.0pt86%
- November 30,-1.5pt84%
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KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028+2.0pt67%
- Before May 1, 2027+4.0pt54%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-7.0pt43%
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POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+1.6pt60.2%
- SpaceX-5.0pt37.8%
- OpenAI+0.1pt2%
+9 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETOpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- 1.5T++12.8pt77.7%
- 1.25T–1.5T-4.0pt7.8%
- 1T–1.25T-1.5pt5.8%
+4 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- $2.0–$2.25T+0.2pt20.9%
- $2.5–$2.75T+7.5pt19.1%
- $1.75–$2.0T-7.0pt18.1%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für third wave of philanthropy seems to be happening within a year of anthropic&openai IPO??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 70% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird third wave of philanthropy seems to be happening within a year of anthropic&openai IPO? entschieden?
- third wave of philanthropy seems to be happening within a year of anthropic&openai IPO? soll am 1. Juli 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird third wave of philanthropy seems to be happening within a year of anthropic&openai IPO? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: work in progress, will we see substantial charitable giving from the EA’s due to the ai labs IPOing?