KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Before 2028 67%+4.0ptFührend unter 11 Optionen
Marktqualitat
≤74 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
4394,9 €
Liquidität
639.764,4 €
Hohe LiquiditätSpread
1.0 pt
Enger SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 2 Minuten
26. März 26, 00:00 UTC1. Okt. 26, 03:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
SpaceX vs Tesla - Will SpaceX have a higher market cap than Tesla on Dec. 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Elon Musk create a parent company to consolidate his various business interests (e.g., Tesla, SpaceX, etc.) by 2027
Manifold MarketsWill Anthropic or OpenAI revenue run rate exceed Tesla, SpaceX, and X combined by Dec 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill McCormick merge with Unilever Foods by which date?
PolymarketWill Tesla merge with SpaceX by December 31, 2026?
ForecastExSpaceX' Market Cap end of October 2026?
PolymarketRegeln
If Tesla or SpaceX officially announces a definitive, binding agreement for Tesla to acquire SpaceX, SpaceX to acquire Tesla, or the two entities to merge or combine in any structure that results in a transfer of controlling interest or consolidation of the two entities under common corporate ownership the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:the Securities and Exchange Commission EDGAR databaseABCCNBCThe Wall Street JournalMSNBCThe InformationNBCThe Washington PostThe New York TimesAxiosReutersCNNthe Associated PressCBSPoliticoTeslaSpaceX
- The announcement must be made through official company channels including press releases, SEC filings (8-K, 10-K, 10-Q), earnings calls, investor presentations, verified social media accounts, or official statements to media subsequently confirmed by the company.
- CEO statements through official channels qualify.
- Rumors, speculation, unconfirmed reports, leaked information, third-party announcements without company confirmation, and preliminary discussions do not qualify.
- The announcement must occur after market issuance.
- Companies are tracked through rebranding and name changes representing the same business entity.
Vergleich von Prognosequellen
Offene Märkte
RegulationKALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Jan 1, 2028+2.0pt42%
- Before Oct 1, 2027+1.0pt41%
- Before Jul 1, 2027+2.0pt34%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 4,9 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 58.933 €
POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No-2.0pt83.2%
- Yes+2.0pt16.8%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 12,5 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 43.088,3 €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,89%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,-1.0pt84%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 2,4 Mio. €
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Mar 1, 2027+4.0pt98%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-2.0pt95%
- Before Feb 1, 202793%
+9 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1,5 Mio. €
POLYMARKETWeed rescheduled by which date?
- December 31-2.3pt16%
- September 30-8.6pt2%
- July 31-1.2pt0%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIWhich companies will officially announce an IPO this year?
- Jersey Mike's99%
- Shein98%
- Oura-3.0pt95%
+26 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1,7 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 4829 €
- Will California authorize an alternative wage or other qualifying relief from goat-herder wage and overtime obligations before Oct 1, 2026?
- Will marijuana be rescheduled?
- Discord IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will OpenAI officially announce an IPO?
- LSU to leave the SEC before 2027?
- SB Energy IPO by which date?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by September 30?
- How many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
- Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
- Will Colorado's AI rules take effect before February 2027?
- When will Starlink officially announce an IPO?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für When will Tesla and SpaceX merge??
- Kalshi bewertet Before 2028 mit 67% (Stand: 10. September 2026).
- Wann wird When will Tesla and SpaceX merge? entschieden?
- When will Tesla and SpaceX merge? soll am 1. Oktober 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird When will Tesla and SpaceX merge? abgerechnet?
- Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If Tesla or SpaceX officially announces a definitive, binding agreement for Tesla to acquire SpaceX, SpaceX to acquire Tesla, or the two entities to merge or combine in any structure that results in a transfer of controlling interest or consolidation of the two entities under common corporate ownership the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Wo wird When will Tesla and SpaceX merge? außerdem gelistet?
- Dieselbe Frage wird auch auf Polymarket gelistet.