KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGrob kalibriertAktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitBefore May 1, 2027 44%-4.0%Führend unter 13 Optionen
Marktqualitat
91 / 100
Hohe Qualität24h-Volumen
4065,4 €
Liquidität
201.431,1 €
Hohe LiquiditätGeld / Brief
43.0% / 44.0%
Spread
2.3%
Enger SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 16 Minuten
26. März 26, 0:001. Mai 27, 3:59
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Before May 1, 202744%
Plattformen vergleichen· Before 2028
Sortiert nach Marktqualität, dann Liquidität und 24-h-Volumen| Plattform | Qualität | Wahrscheinlichkeit | vs. Referenz | 24h Vol | Liq | Aktualität | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiDiese SeiteBeste insgesamt | Hoch | 68% | — | 4065,4 € | 201.431,1 € | vor 16 Minuten | |
 Polymarket90% Übereinstimmung · geprüft | Mittel | 19% | — | 285,4 € | 34.378 € | vor 16 Minuten | Öffnen → |
Auch verfügbar auf Polymarket
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?
5Mon
-0.5%19%
10%
-0.1%0%
64 • Mittlere QualitätBreiter SpreadHohe Liquidität
Gesamtvolumen769.976,2 €
24h-Volumen285,4 €
POLYMARKETRegeln
If Tesla or SpaceX officially announces a definitive, binding agreement for Tesla to acquire SpaceX, SpaceX to acquire Tesla, or the two entities to merge or combine in any structure that results in a transfer of controlling interest or consolidation of the two entities under common corporate ownership before Jun 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The announcement must be made through official company channels including press releases, SEC filings (8-K, 10-K, 10-Q), earnings calls, investor presentations, verified social media accounts, or official statements to media subsequently confirmed by the company.
- CEO statements through official channels qualify.
- Rumors, speculation, unconfirmed reports, leaked information, third-party announcements without company confirmation, and preliminary discussions do not qualify.
- The announcement must occur after market issuance.
- Companies are tracked through rebranding and name changes representing the same business entity.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
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If Tesla or SpaceX officially announces a definitive, binding agreement for Tesla to acquire SpaceX, SpaceX to acquire Tesla, or the two entities to merge or combine in any structure that results in a transfer of controlling interest or consolidation of the two entities under common corporate ownership before Jun 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The announcement must be made through official company channels including press releases, SEC filings (8-K, 10-K, 10-Q), earnings calls, investor presentations, verified social media accounts, or official statements to media subsequently confirmed by the company.
- CEO statements through official channels qualify.
- Rumors, speculation, unconfirmed reports, leaked information, third-party announcements without company confirmation, and preliminary discussions do not qualify.
- The announcement must occur after market issuance.
- Companies are tracked through rebranding and name changes representing the same business entity.