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  1. Prognosemärkte
  2. Regulierung
  3. When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?

When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?

2.0% (24h)RegulierungTechnikOne-OffSpaceCorporate Actions6Mon
KalshiKalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% Gebühr
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Before Jan 1, 2027
Before Jan 1, 2027 25%+2.0%
Führend unter 13 Optionen
Marktqualitat

28 / 100

Niedrige Qualität
24h-Volumen

3,8 €

Liquidität

1285,5 €

Niedrige Liquidität
Geld / Brief

25.0% / 31.0%

Spread

24.0%

Breiter Spread
Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 8 Minuten

26. März 26, 0:001. Jan. 27, 4:59

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit

Gewähltes Ergebnis

Before Jan 1, 202725%

Regeln

If Tesla or SpaceX officially announces a definitive, binding agreement for Tesla to acquire SpaceX, SpaceX to acquire Tesla, or the two entities to merge or combine in any structure that results in a transfer of controlling interest or consolidation of the two entities under common corporate ownership before May 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The announcement must be made through official company channels including press releases, SEC filings (8-K, 10-K, 10-Q), earnings calls, investor presentations, verified social media accounts, or official statements to media subsequently confirmed by the company.
  • CEO statements through official channels qualify.
  • Rumors, speculation, unconfirmed reports, leaked information, third-party announcements without company confirmation, and preliminary discussions do not qualify.
  • The announcement must occur after market issuance.
  • Companies are tracked through rebranding and name changes representing the same business entity.

Verwandte Märkte

How much will SpaceX raise in its IPO?

How much will SpaceX raise in its IPO?

5831,6 €
70-80B: 96%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
What will SpaceX’s IPO valuation be?

What will SpaceX’s IPO valuation be?

338,1 €
1.75-2.00T: 94%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Manifold Markets

OpenAI highest valuation by end of June 2026

146,8 €
≥$0.6T: 100%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
When will SpaceX officially announce an IPO?

When will SpaceX officially announce an IPO?

96,3 €
Before Jul 1, 2026: 99%KalshiKALSHI
Will SpaceX acquire Cursor this year?

Will SpaceX acquire Cursor this year?

0,1 €
Ja: 87%KalshiKALSHI
Manifold Markets

Combined IPO market cap of Anthropic + OpenAI + SpaceX

165,2 €
Under $3T: 1.8%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS

In diesen Themen aktiv

BitcoinBTC$62,901.58+2.81%EthereumETH$1,659.28+2.18%SolanaSOL$65.35+2.30%DogecoinDOGE$0.085+2.01%BNBBNB$596.68+2.07%XRPXRP$1.12+0.96%

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Regeln

If Tesla or SpaceX officially announces a definitive, binding agreement for Tesla to acquire SpaceX, SpaceX to acquire Tesla, or the two entities to merge or combine in any structure that results in a transfer of controlling interest or consolidation of the two entities under common corporate ownership before May 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The announcement must be made through official company channels including press releases, SEC filings (8-K, 10-K, 10-Q), earnings calls, investor presentations, verified social media accounts, or official statements to media subsequently confirmed by the company.
  • CEO statements through official channels qualify.
  • Rumors, speculation, unconfirmed reports, leaked information, third-party announcements without company confirmation, and preliminary discussions do not qualify.
  • The announcement must occur after market issuance.
  • Companies are tracked through rebranding and name changes representing the same business entity.