PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitJa 4%
Marktqualitat
44 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
118,3 €
Liquidität
10.240,6 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
3.3% / 4.0%
Spread
21.2%
Breiter Spread7d-Änderung
+0.1%
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 5 Minuten
9. Juni 26, 5:441. Jan. 27, 4:59
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Yes4%
Volumentrend
$1354. Juli20T Daten26. Juli
Verwandte Märkte
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
4281 €SpaceX: 86%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
SpaceX Closing Market Cap End of July
17,6 €$1.0T-$1.5T: 61%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?
0 €SpaceX: 97%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
SpaceX Market Cap after Lock Up Period?
0 €Below 0.5T: 1%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill SpaceX outperform the S&P 500 over the 2 years following its IPO?
31,4 €Ja: 28.2%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill Anthropic have the largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
244,9 €No [Anthropic does not IPO in 2026]: 31.1%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSIn diesen Themen aktiv
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The S&P 500 undergoes quarterly reconstitution on the third Friday of March, June, September, and December.
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if S&P Global Inc. announces that SpaceX will be added to the S&P 500 index by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
- An announcement from S&P will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the listed company has actually been added to the S&P 500 index by the resolution date.
- The primary resolution source will be official announcements from S&P Global Inc.
- (https://www.spglobal.com/en/press/press-release).