KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGrob kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit8,000 to 8,199.99 12%-1.0%Führend unter 27 Optionen
Marktqualitat
73 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
10.689,8 €
Liquidität
3,2 Mio. €
Hohe LiquiditätGeld / Brief
11.0% / 12.0%
Spread
9.1%
Breiter SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 23 Minuten
23. Dez. 25, 15:0031. Dez. 26, 21:00
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
8,000 to 8,199.9912%
Plattformen vergleichen· 7,800 to 7,999.99
Sortiert nach Marktqualität, dann Liquidität und 24-h-Volumen| Plattform | Qualität | Wahrscheinlichkeit | vs. Referenz | 24h Vol | Liq | Aktualität | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiDiese SeiteBeste insgesamt | Mittel | 13% | — | 10.689,8 € | 3,2 Mio. € | vor 23 Minuten | |
 Manifold Markets83% Übereinstimmung · geprüft | — | 97% | — | — | — | vor 3 Tagen | Öffnen → |
Auch verfügbar auf Manifold Markets
S&P 500 closing price on Dec 31 2026
5Mon
97%
+0.5%93.5%
92%
+16 weitere Ergebnisse
Community-Prognose16 PrognostikerTyp: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSRegeln
If the S&P 500 index value on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST is below 4000, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The market will close on December 31, 2026.
- The market will expire at the sooner of the first release of the data, or one week after December 31, 2026.
- Pursuant to the Kalshi Rulebook, the Exchange has modified the Source Agency and Underlying for indices markets.
- See the rules for more information.
- If the S&P 500 index value on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST is between 4000-4199.99, then the market resolves to Yes.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
Große Trades
$1.0k98.0%KALSHI6,800 to 6,999.99 — Novor 6 Tagen
KALSHI6,800 to 6,999.99 — Novor 6 TagenVolumentrend
$12.2k2. Juli25T Daten26. Juli
Verwandte Märkte
CXMT IPO Closing Market Cap Above __?
19.230,8 €1T: 99%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
How high will the S&P get this year?
6573,3 €7,800 or above: 57%KALSHI
KALSHI
How low will the S&P get this year?
3164,5 €5,900 or below: 14%KALSHI
KALSHI
Nasdaq-100 close price end of 2026?
2269,6 €33,000.01 or above: 20%KALSHI
KALSHI
Will Databricks' valuation hit __ by December 31?
2166,2 €↑$170B: 100%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Consensys IPO closing market cap above ___ ?
1766,4 €$2B: 14%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETIn diesen Themen aktiv
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If the S&P 500 index value on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST is below 4000, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The market will close on December 31, 2026.
- The market will expire at the sooner of the first release of the data, or one week after December 31, 2026.
- Pursuant to the Kalshi Rulebook, the Exchange has modified the Source Agency and Underlying for indices markets.
- See the rules for more information.
- If the S&P 500 index value on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST is between 4000-4199.99, then the market resolves to Yes.