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  3. Which companies will the US take a stake in this year?
Which companies will the US take a stake in this year?

Which companies will the US take a stake in this year?

5.0% (24h)YearlyPolitikUS PoliticsBusiness & Corporate6Mon
KalshiKalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% Gebühr
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Anduril
Anduril 38%+5.0%
Führend unter 21 Optionen
Marktqualitat

79 / 100

Hohe Qualität
24h-Volumen

247,3 €

Liquidität

2233,3 €

Mittlere Liquidität
Geld / Brief

37.0% / 38.0%

Spread

2.7%

Enger Spread
Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 4 Minuten

10. Dez. 25, 15:001. Jan. 27, 4:59

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit

Gewähltes Ergebnis

Anduril38%

PolymarketAuch verfügbar auf Polymarket

Which companies will the US take a stake in?

Which companies will the US take a stake in?

17.0%6Mon
Rigetti
Rigetti
+5.3%79%
GlobalFoundries
GlobalFoundries
-0.1%52%
Anduril
Anduril
-4.5%50%

+15 weitere Ergebnisse

44 • Niedrige QualitätBreiter SpreadMittlere Liquidität
Gesamtvolumen83.721,8 €
24h-Volumen61,1 €
PolymarketPOLYMARKET

Regeln

If any part of the United States federal government has taken a stake of any legal vehicle that primarily owns TikTok US or ByteDance before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • Taking a stake means acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, or equivalent ownership interests.
  • This includes indirect ownership through wholly controlled investment vehicles and convertible rights treated as equity.
  • Pre-existing stakes count toward the threshold.
  • Ownership is aggregated across all share classes and listings.
  • Crossing the threshold at any point satisfies the criterion regardless of subsequent changes.

Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.

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Above $140 billion: 93%KalshiKALSHI
FY2026 Commerce Department gifts and bequests (including Gold Card receipts)

FY2026 Commerce Department gifts and bequests (including Gold Card receipts)

0 €
Above $1M: 96%KalshiKALSHI
Will the California billionaire wealth tax pass?

Will the California billionaire wealth tax pass?

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Who will be the first trillionaire?

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Will Databricks' valuation hit __ by December 31?

Will Databricks' valuation hit __ by December 31?

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↑$160B: 95%PolymarketPOLYMARKET

In diesen Themen aktiv

BitcoinBTC$62,835.25+1.92%EthereumETH$1,657.81+1.25%SolanaSOL$65.23+1.59%DogecoinDOGE$0.0851+1.38%HyperliquidHYPE$55.87+0.33%XRPXRP$1.12+0.44%

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Regeln

If any part of the United States federal government has taken a stake of any legal vehicle that primarily owns TikTok US or ByteDance before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • Taking a stake means acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, or equivalent ownership interests.
  • This includes indirect ownership through wholly controlled investment vehicles and convertible rights treated as equity.
  • Pre-existing stakes count toward the threshold.
  • Ownership is aggregated across all share classes and listings.
  • Crossing the threshold at any point satisfies the criterion regardless of subsequent changes.