KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGrob kalibriertAktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitRenan Santos 8%+1.8%Führend unter 13 Optionen
Marktqualitat
100 / 100
Hohe Qualität24h-Volumen
5770 €
Liquidität
1,1 Mio. €
Hohe LiquiditätGeld / Brief
7.9% / 8.0%
Spread
1.3%
Enger SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 14 Minuten
5. Dez. 25, 19:3025. Okt. 27, 14:00
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Renan Santos8%
Plattformen vergleichen· Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
Sortiert nach Marktqualität, dann Liquidität und 24-h-Volumen| Plattform | Qualität | Wahrscheinlichkeit | vs. Referenz | 24h Vol | Liq | Aktualität | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiDiese SeiteBeste insgesamt | Hoch | 59% | 0pt | 5770 € | 1,1 Mio. € | vor 14 Minuten | |
 PolymarketAktivste80% Übereinstimmung · geprüft | Hoch | 61% | +2pt | 185.179,4 € | 8,5 Mio. € | vor 19 Minuten | Öffnen → |
 Manifold Markets82% Übereinstimmung · auto | — | 58% | -1pt | — | — | vor 10 Tagen | Öffnen → |
| Manifold Markets95% Übereinstimmung · geprüft | — | 57% | -2pt | — | — | vor 10 Tagen | Öffnen → |
Auch verfügbar auf Manifold Markets
2026 Brazil Presidential Election Winner?
3Mon
+1.7%56.9%
25%
-0.8%11.1%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
Community-Prognose26 PrognostikerTyp: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSAuch verfügbar auf Manifold Markets
Brazil Presidential Election Winner
2Mon
58%
+0.1%25%
1%
+4 weitere Ergebnisse
Community-Prognose18 PrognostikerTyp: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSAuch verfügbar auf Polymarket
Brazil Presidential Election
2Mon
61%
+0.1%23%
+0.6%11%
+29 weitere Ergebnisse
77 • Hohe QualitätSpread unbekanntHohe LiquiditätHohe Mehrdeutigkeit
Gesamtvolumen98,1 Mio. €
24h-Volumen185.179,4 €
POLYMARKETRegeln
If Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva has won the 2026 Brazilian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Jair Bolsonaro has won the 2026 Brazilian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Fernando Haddad has won the 2026 Brazilian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Tarcisio de Frietas has won the 2026 Brazilian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Michelle Bolsonaro has won the 2026 Brazilian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Flávio Bolsonaro has won the 2026 Brazilian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
Volumentrend
$6.6k2. Juli10T Daten11. Juli
Verwandte Märkte
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4758,2 €Flávio Bolsonaro: 77%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Who will run for President of Brazil?
487,3 €Jair Bolsonaro: 6%KALSHI
KALSHI
Who will win the 2026 Brazilian Presidential Election?
274,7 €Lula: 58%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill Venezuela officially announce and schedule early presidential elections to be held before September 1, 2026?
189,9 €Ja: 7.2%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWho will win Peru's 2026 presidential election?
175,1 €Keiko Fujimori: 98.7%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSNext Brazil Senate Election: Most Seats Won
174 €PL: 88%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETIn diesen Themen aktiv
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If Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva has won the 2026 Brazilian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Jair Bolsonaro has won the 2026 Brazilian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Fernando Haddad has won the 2026 Brazilian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Tarcisio de Frietas has won the 2026 Brazilian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Michelle Bolsonaro has won the 2026 Brazilian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Flávio Bolsonaro has won the 2026 Brazilian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.