US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
0.1 Pkt. (24h)PolitikOne-OffUS PoliticsGeopolitikMiddle East3Mon
PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
December 31 49.6%-0.1ptFührend unter 20 OptionenMargenbereinigt: Die Rohquoten summierten sich auf über 100 % und wurden normalisiert.
Marktqualitat
83 / 100
Hohe Qualität24h-Volumen
191.412,2 €
Liquidität
555.116,1 €
Hohe LiquiditätSpread
0.4 pt
Enger SpreadKommentare
571
7d-Änderung
-2.8 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 2 Minuten
13. Juli 26, 18:04 UTC1. Jan. 27, 04:59 UTC
Trends
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FutuurRegeln
On July 13, 2026, Trump announced the United States would reinstate its naval blockade of Iran, targeting Iranian ships and customers.
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States government, or an authorized representative of the United States government, publicly and officially announces the end, termination, lifting, or suspension of the United States’ naval blockade on Iranian ships and ships of Iranian customers, between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- An announcement qualifies if it communicates that the United States will generally cease blocking vessel traffic for Iranian ships and customers, including an announcement that the blockade will not take effect at all, even if some restrictions remain (for example, an imposition of fees).
- An announcement does not qualify if it reflects only a limited or partial change that stops short of a general end or suspension of the blockade, for example, an exemption for a specific vessel, cargo, or port.
- A qualifying announcement must be a declarative statement of the United States government’s present termination or suspension of the blockade, previously-unannounced prior termination or suspension of the blockade, or definitive decision to terminate or suspend the blockade.
