KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGrob kalibriertAktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitD-House, D-Senate 46%+3.0%Führend unter 4 Optionen
Marktqualitat
100 / 100
Hohe Qualität24h-Volumen
54.268,1 €
Liquidität
4,5 Mio. €
Hohe LiquiditätGeld / Brief
45.0% / 46.0%
Spread
2.2%
Enger SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 8 Minuten
11. Dez. 25, 15:001. Feb. 27, 15:00
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
D-House, D-Senate46%
Plattformen vergleichen· D-House, D-Senate
Sortiert nach Marktqualität, dann Liquidität und 24-h-Volumen| Plattform | Qualität | Wahrscheinlichkeit | vs. Referenz | 24h Vol | Liq | Aktualität | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiDiese SeiteBeste insgesamt | Hoch | 46% | — | 54.268,1 € | 4,5 Mio. € | vor 8 Minuten | |
 Polymarket82% Übereinstimmung · geprüft | Hoch | 44% | — | 10.393,7 € | 824.323 € | vor 14 Minuten | Öffnen → |
 Manifold Markets82% Übereinstimmung · geprüft | — | 44% | — | — | — | vor 2 Stunden | Öffnen → |
| Manifold Markets85% Übereinstimmung · geprüft | — | 44% | — | — | — | vor 8 Stunden | Öffnen → |
 PredictIt85% Übereinstimmung · verknüpft | — | 41% | — | — | — | vor 7 Minuten | Öffnen → |
Auch verfügbar auf PredictIt
What will be the balance of power in Congress after the 2026 election?
41%
38%
23%
+1 weitere Ergebnisse
Retail prediction exchange
PREDICTITAuch verfügbar auf Manifold Markets
What will be the balance of power in Congress after the 2026 midterms?
3Mon
-0.3%42.4%
+0.2%43.8%
0.8%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
Community-Prognose99 PrognostikerTyp: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSAuch verfügbar auf Polymarket
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
0.5%3Mon
44%
41%
+0.5%14%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
89 • Hohe QualitätMittlerer SpreadHohe LiquiditätHohe Mehrdeutigkeit
Gesamtvolumen7,5 Mio. €
24h-Volumen10.393,7 €
POLYMARKETAuch verfügbar auf Manifold Markets
Who controls Congress after the 2026 Midterms?
3Mon
-0.3%42.4%
+0.1%12.1%
0.8%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
Community-Prognose128 PrognostikerTyp: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSRegeln
If ALL of the following occur on Feb 1, 2027: House Control: Democratic, Senate Control: Democratic, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out.
- If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No.
- Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: House Control uses CONTROL, Senate Control uses CONTROL.
- If ALL of the following occur on Feb 1, 2027: House Control: Republican, Senate Control: Republican, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If ALL of the following occur on Feb 1, 2027: House Control: Democratic, Senate Control: Republican, then the market resolves to Yes.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
Volumentrend
$61.9k2. Juli12T Daten13. Juli
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If ALL of the following occur on Feb 1, 2027: House Control: Democratic, Senate Control: Democratic, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out.
- If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No.
- Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: House Control uses CONTROL, Senate Control uses CONTROL.
- If ALL of the following occur on Feb 1, 2027: House Control: Republican, Senate Control: Republican, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If ALL of the following occur on Feb 1, 2027: House Control: Democratic, Senate Control: Republican, then the market resolves to Yes.