Aktuelle Community-Prognose
Democrat trifecta 51%Führend unter 8 Optionen
Prognostiker
26
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
+5.3 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 5 Stunden
Veraltet20. März 25, 00:26 UTC7. Nov. 28, 07:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Balance of power after 2028 US elections?
Manifold MarketsBalance of Power: 2026 Midterms
Polymarket2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
KalshiWhat will be the balance of power in Congress after the 2026 election?
PredictItBalance of Power: Who will control the government after the 2026 US federal elections?
Manifold MarketsWhat will be the balance of power in Congress after the 2026 midterms?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
Update 2025-10-14 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator plans to use reference markets closer to the election to determine resolution, making this a derivative market.
- Expected resolution criteria (pending final reference market selection):
- Independents count for the party they caucus with
- Tie in Senate broken by VP
Offene Märkte
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.6pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 605,6 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 691.801,4 €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.3pt1%
+16 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt73.3%
- New People (NL)-2.7pt22.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.2pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 603,1 Mio. €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt16.2%
- Jon Ossoff-2.0pt16.2%
- Gavin Newsom14.1%
+45 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 183,6 Mio. €
KALSHINew Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Chris Pappas+1.3pt100%
- Karishma Manzur-1.8pt0%
- Jared Sullivan-0.2pt0%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
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- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
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- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
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- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Balance of power after the 2028 elections?
- Manifold Markets bewertet Democrat trifecta mit 51% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Balance of power after the 2028 elections entschieden?
- Balance of power after the 2028 elections soll am 7. November 2028 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Balance of power after the 2028 elections abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Update 2025-10-14 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator plans to use reference markets closer to the election to determine resolution, making this a derivative market.