What will be the balance of power in Congress after the 2026 midterms?
One-OffPolitikUS PoliticsWahl3Mon
Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseDemocratic House and Senate 42.4%-0.3%Führend unter 5 Optionen
Prognostiker
99
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 8 Stunden
Veraltet15. Nov. 24, 22:374. Nov. 26, 5:59
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Democratic House and Senate42%
Plattformen vergleichen· Democratic House, Republican Senate
Sortiert nach Marktqualität, dann Liquidität und 24-h-Volumen| Plattform | Qualität | Wahrscheinlichkeit | vs. Referenz | 24h Vol | Liq | Aktualität | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiBeste insgesamt85% Übereinstimmung · geprüft | Hoch | 46% | — | 54.268,1 € | 4,5 Mio. € | vor 10 Minuten | Öffnen → |
 Polymarket88% Übereinstimmung · geprüft | Hoch | 44% | — | 10.393,7 € | 824.323 € | vor 16 Minuten | Öffnen → |
| Manifold Markets82% Übereinstimmung · verknüpft | — | 44% | — | — | — | vor 2 Stunden | Öffnen → |
| Manifold MarketsDiese Seite | — | 44% | — | — | — | vor 8 Stunden | |
 PredictIt92% Übereinstimmung · geprüft | — | 41% | — | — | — | vor 8 Minuten | Öffnen → |
Auch verfügbar auf PredictIt
What will be the balance of power in Congress after the 2026 election?
41%
38%
23%
+1 weitere Ergebnisse
Retail prediction exchange
PREDICTITAuch verfügbar auf Polymarket
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
0.5%3Mon
44%
41%
+0.5%14%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
89 • Hohe QualitätMittlerer SpreadHohe LiquiditätHohe Mehrdeutigkeit
Gesamtvolumen7,5 Mio. €
24h-Volumen10.393,7 €
POLYMARKETAuch verfügbar auf Kalshi
2026 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
3.0%6Mon
+3.0%46%
-1.0%17%
-0.1%2%
+1 weitere Ergebnisse
100 • Hohe QualitätEnger SpreadHohe LiquiditätHohe Mehrdeutigkeit
Gesamtvolumen7 Mio. €
24h-Volumen54.268,1 €
KALSHIAuch verfügbar auf Manifold Markets
Who controls Congress after the 2026 Midterms?
3Mon
-0.3%42.4%
+0.1%12.1%
0.8%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
Community-Prognose128 PrognostikerTyp: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSRegeln
Resolves to whichever party's caucuses are elected to majorities in the U.S.
- House of Representatives and Senate in the 2026 midterm elections.
- A majority in the House is defined as having more than half of the voting Representatives, and a majority in the Senate is defined as having more than half of the Senators, or exactly half and the vice president.
- Independents or members of third parties who caucus with another party are considered part of that party for the sake of determining the majority.
- Following the 2024 election, there are two such independents remaining in the Senate, both of whom caucus with the Democrats.
- Independents or third party members who do not caucus with either major party will not be considered a part of either party - thus it is in theory possible that neither party could have the majority in one of the chambers.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
Volumentrend
$1610. Juli3T Daten12. Juli
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Resolves to whichever party's caucuses are elected to majorities in the U.S.
- House of Representatives and Senate in the 2026 midterm elections.
- A majority in the House is defined as having more than half of the voting Representatives, and a majority in the Senate is defined as having more than half of the Senators, or exactly half and the vice president.
- Independents or members of third parties who caucus with another party are considered part of that party for the sake of determining the majority.
- Following the 2024 election, there are two such independents remaining in the Senate, both of whom caucus with the Democrats.
- Independents or third party members who do not caucus with either major party will not be considered a part of either party - thus it is in theory possible that neither party could have the majority in one of the chambers.