How many independents will be elected to Congress in the midterms?
PolitikOne-OffUS-PolitikWahlUS-Zwischenwahlen 20262Mon
KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlichVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertMittelwert des gewählten Orderbuchs
At least 1 · —
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
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Gespeicherter Preis
At least 1 34%Führend unter 4 Optionen
At least 1 34%Marktqualitat
32 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
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Open Interest
1397 $
Niedriges Open InterestGeld / Brief
— / —
At least 1Spread
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Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 4 Minuten
12. Aug. 26, 16:00 UTC3. Jan. 27, 14:59 UTC
Chart und Änderungen zeigen gespeicherte historische Wahrscheinlichkeiten, nicht das gewählte aktuelle Orderbuch.
Trends
Gewählte Zeile: Orderbuch-Mittelwert. Andere Zeilen: gespeicherte, ggf. normalisierte Referenzwerte; 24h-Änderungen basieren auf gespeicherter Historie.
Handelsplatzbedingungen
Quelle: Kalshi
Diese Angaben dienen der Information; für den simulierten Handel bei CoinRithm gelten eigene Regeln.
- Vorzeitige Schließung:
- Ja
- Abrechnungsfrist:
- 30m (unverbindliche Angabe)
Markttiefe · At least 1
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
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Manifold MarketsWill Neal Dunn leave Congress before the midterms?
KalshiWill Saikat Chakrabarti be elected to Congress in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill any of Donald Trump's children be elected to Congress, Vice President, or President of the US by 2050?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
If the number of candidates unaffiliated with a political party elected to U.S. House or Senate seats is at least 1 in the 2026 U.S. congressional elections for the 120th Congress, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:state governments
- A candidate is considered unaffiliated with a political party if the relevant election authority identifies the candidate as Independent, Nonpartisan, No Party Preference, No Party Affiliation, Unaffiliated, by petition without a party designation, or an equivalent no-party designation. Candidates identified with a political party do not count. Endorsements and post-election caucus affiliation do not affect the count.
Regeln für jedes Ergebnis
- At least 1
- If the number of candidates unaffiliated with a political party elected to U.S. House or Senate seats is at least 1 in the 2026 U.S. congressional elections for the 120th Congress, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 2
- If the number of candidates unaffiliated with a political party elected to U.S. House or Senate seats is at least 2 in the 2026 U.S. congressional elections for the 120th Congress, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 3
- If the number of candidates unaffiliated with a political party elected to U.S. House or Senate seats is at least 3 in the 2026 U.S. congressional elections for the 120th Congress, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 4
- If the number of candidates unaffiliated with a political party elected to U.S. House or Senate seats is at least 4 in the 2026 U.S. congressional elections for the 120th Congress, then the market resolves to Yes.