KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
At least 1 37%Führend unter 4 Optionen
Marktqualitat
35 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
—
Liquidität
328,1 €
Niedrige LiquiditätSpread
6.0 pt
Breiter SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 10 Minuten
12. Aug. 26, 16:00 UTC3. Jan. 27, 14:59 UTC
Trends
0%
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Saikat Chakrabarti be elected to Congress in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWho controls Congress after the 2026 Midterms?
Manifold MarketsWhat will be the balance of power in Congress after the 2026 midterms?
Manifold MarketsWill Neal Dunn leave Congress before the midterms?
KalshiRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
PolymarketPresidential Election Winner 2028
PolymarketRegeln
If the number of candidates unaffiliated with a political party elected to U.S. House or Senate seats is the named outcome in the 2026 U.S. congressional elections for the 120th Congress, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:state governments
- A candidate is considered unaffiliated with a political party if the relevant election authority identifies the candidate as Independent, Nonpartisan, No Party Preference, No Party Affiliation, Unaffiliated, by petition without a party designation, or an equivalent no-party designation.
- Candidates identified with a political party do not count.
- Endorsements and post-election caucus affiliation do not affect the count.
Offene Märkte
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.6pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 605,6 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 691.801,4 €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.3pt1%
+16 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt73.3%
- New People (NL)-2.7pt22.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.2pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 603,1 Mio. €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt16.2%
- Jon Ossoff-2.0pt16.2%
- Gavin Newsom14.1%
+45 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 183,6 Mio. €
KALSHINew Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Chris Pappas+1.3pt100%
- Karishma Manzur-1.8pt0%
- Jared Sullivan-0.2pt0%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
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- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- NJ-07 House winner?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für How many independents will be elected to Congress in the midterms??
- Kalshi bewertet At least 1 mit 37% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird How many independents will be elected to Congress in the midterms? entschieden?
- How many independents will be elected to Congress in the midterms? soll am 3. Januar 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird How many independents will be elected to Congress in the midterms? abgerechnet?
- Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If the number of candidates unaffiliated with a political party elected to U.S. House or Senate seats is the named outcome in the 2026 U.S. congressional elections for the 120th Congress, then the market resolves to Yes.