PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitJuly 18 100%+0.3%Führend unter 10 Optionen
Marktqualitat
100 / 100
Hohe Qualität24h-Volumen
948.202,2 €
Liquidität
339.256,6 €
Hohe LiquiditätGeld / Brief
76.0% / 77.0%
Spread
1.3%
Enger Spread7d-Änderung
-4.0%
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 2 Minuten
16. Juli 26, 23:1131. Aug. 26, 23:59
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
July 2399%
Große Trades
$4.3k94.0%POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 24? — YesNeon-Gargoylevor 5 m
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 24? — YesNeon-Gargoylevor 5 m$1.3k71.0%POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26? — YesDistant-Inhibitorvor 3 Std.
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26? — YesDistant-Inhibitorvor 3 Std.$2.9k95.0%POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 24? — YesCaptainCoinflipvor 3 Std.
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 24? — YesCaptainCoinflipvor 3 Std.$2.4k24.0%POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25? — Nonishekgrainivor 7 Std.
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25? — Nonishekgrainivor 7 Std.$1.0k25.0%POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25? — No8dcc906a9bvor 9 Std.
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25? — No8dcc906a9bvor 9 Std.$3.8k75.0%POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25? — YesSkinny-Classvor 12 Std.
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25? — YesSkinny-Classvor 12 Std.$1.4k88.0%POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 24? — YesRequired-Spitvor 15 Std.
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 24? — YesRequired-Spitvor 15 Std.$1.6k29.7%POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25? — Nonishekgrainivor 15 Std.
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25? — Nonishekgrainivor 15 Std.Volumentrend
$1.1M17. Juli8T Daten24. Juli
Verwandte Märkte
Iran full airspace closure by which date?
233.061 €August 31: 56%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by...? (2 week pause)
192.467,1 €August 31: 49%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Iran invades Kuwait by which date?
150.343 €August 31: 3%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
US-Iran nuclear deal?
12.406,3 €Before Jan 1, 2027: 18%
KALSHI
KALSHI
Will a missile, launched from Iran, hit London by the end of December 31st 2026?
4653,7 €Ja: 1.2%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Will Netanyahu be arrested?
1938,6 €Before Oct 1, 2026: 2%KALSHI
KALSHIIn diesen Themen aktiv
Verwandte Nachrichten
Polymarket odds for US invasion of Iran before 2027 jump to 27.5%Blockchain.News
Polymarket sees 99.85% odds Israel–Iran ceasefire holds through July 18Blockchain.News
Polymarket odds: Eizenkot jumps to 46% to lead Israel PM raceBlockchain.News
Polymarket: US invasion of Iran odds jump to 23.5% after Jordan base claimBlockchain.News
Polymarket prices China–Japan clash at 7.5% after ICC dispute spotlights TokyoBlockchain.News
Polymarket lifts US-Iran invasion odds to 18.5% after blockade, strikesBlockchain.NewsRegeln
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a state of ceasefire remains in effect between Israel and Iran through the listed date, 11:59 PM Iran Standard Time (IRST).
- Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
- A state of ceasefire will be considered to no longer be in effect between Israel and Iran if either Israel or Iran takes a qualifying military action against the other country between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM IRST.
- A qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Israel or Iran, that directly impacts the other country.
- An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones.
- A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.