Does the US take control of Kharg Island (Iran) with boots on the ground even just for an hour before ... (UTC)?
PolitikCommoditiesKIGeopolitik3Mon
Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-Prognose
Before 2027 25.5%Führend unter 4 Optionen
Prognostiker
36
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 11 Stunden
Veraltet8. März 26, 17:18 UTC31. Dez. 26, 17:13 UTC
Trends
0%
0%
0%
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
If Trump puts boots on the ground in Iran, will Dems win the Senate?
Manifold MarketsKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
PolymarketWill the US invade Iran's Kharg Island by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the US invade Iran's Kharg Island by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
LimitlessWhich companies will the US take a stake in this year?
KalshiRegeln
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if the United States takes control of Kharg Island for at least an hour before the specified deadline.
- Control is defined as US military forces establishing and maintaining physical presence on the island with the ability to direct operations.
- Resolution will be based on credible reporting from major news outlets, official US government statements, or documented military operations.
- The market resolves NO if the deadline passes without such control being established.
- Kharg Island is a 5-mile strip of land that serves as Iran's most important oil facility, an export terminal in the Persian Gulf that handles up to 90 percent of the nation's crude.