Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
1.0 Pkt. (24h)One-OffGeopolitikNaher Osten2Mon
PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
December 31 6%-1.0ptFührend unter 11 Optionen
December 31 6%-1.0ptMarktqualitat
≤74 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
41.170,1 €
Liquidität
319.928,8 €
Hohe LiquiditätSpread
1.0 pt
Enger SpreadKommentare
521
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 6 Minuten
14. März 26, 00:25 UTC1. Jan. 27, 04:59 UTC
Trends
April 15Verloren
April 30Verloren
August 31Verloren
Vor Schließung: 0% ·
July 31Verloren
Vor Schließung: 0% ·
June 24Verloren
Vor Schließung: 0% ·
June 30Verloren
Vor Schließung: 0% ·
March 31Verloren
May 31Verloren
September 30Verloren
Vor Schließung: 0% ·
Handelsplatzbedingungen
Quelle: Polymarket
Diese Angaben dienen der Information; für den simulierten Handel bei CoinRithm gelten eigene Regeln.
- Mindestorder (Anteile):
- 5
- Preisschritt:
- 1 Prozentpunkte
- Gebühren:
- Nein
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will the US invade Iran's Kharg Island by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsDoes the US take control of Kharg Island (Iran) with boots on the ground even just for an hour before ... (UTC)?
Manifold MarketsWill the US invade Iran's Kharg Island by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsPerim Island no longer under Houthi control by which date?
PolymarketUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
PolymarketWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
PolymarketRegeln
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kharg Island is no longer under Iranian control by the named outcome, 2026 11:59PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- “No longer under the control of Iran” means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Kharg Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
- Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
- An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
- If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
