PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
December 31 8%Führend unter 10 Optionen
Marktqualitat
74 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
82.630 €
Liquidität
576.650,6 €
Hohe LiquiditätSpread
0.1 pt
Enger SpreadComments
514
7d-Änderung
-0.3 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 17 Minuten
14. März 26, 0:251. Jan. 27, 4:59
Trends
0%
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Regeln
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kharg Island is no longer under Iranian control by the named outcome, 2026 11:59PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- “No longer under the control of Iran” means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Kharg Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
- Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
- An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
- If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
