PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührAktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitDecember 31 46%Führend unter 4 Optionen
Marktqualitat
73 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
16.822,6 €
Liquidität
242.889,6 €
Hohe LiquiditätGeld / Brief
5.0% / 6.0%
Spread
20.0%
Breiter Spread7d-Änderung
+0.5%
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 1 Minute
13. Mai 26, 3:3531. Dez. 26, 0:00
Trends
0%
Gewähltes Ergebnis
December 3146%
Verwandte Märkte
US x Russia military clash by...?
48.783,9 €December 31,: 5%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?
48.393,8 €Ja: 2%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?
14.821,1 €Ja: 8%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Will there be official peace talks involving both Putin and Zelenskyy before Aug 2026?
129,9 €Ja: 19%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWhich country will build the first Military Space Station?
116,9 €USA: 45.4%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill Russia conduct a nuclear weapon test on Novaya Zemlya archipelago by 2027?
65 €Ja: 13.8%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSIn diesen Themen aktiv
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if there is a ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- A ceasefire agreement refers to any mutually-agreed suspension of direct military engagement between Russia and Ukraine, which is either officially announced by both countries or confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting to have been mutually agreed by both countries.
- A broader peace deal, normalization agreement, political framework, truce, or humanitarian pause will qualify if it includes a mutually agreed suspension of direct military engagement, to be effective on a specified date.
- Agreements that outline future negotiations or de-escalation measures without an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not qualify.
- Any form of informal understanding, backchannel communication, de-escalation without an announced agreement, or unilateral pause in hostilities will not be considered a ceasefire agreement.