Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 94.7%
Prognostiker
17
Fragetyp
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Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 19 Stunden
Veraltet13. Juli 26, 11:06 UTC1. Jan. 50, 12:04 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Darline Graham run for and win Lindsey Graham's senate seat in the 2026 Senate Election?
Manifold MarketsWill Lindsey Graham be Reelected?
Manifold MarketsDid Russia kill Jeffrey Epstein?
Manifold MarketsWhen will an investigation into Lindsay Graham's death be completed?
Manifold MarketsWill the Graham Act sanctions take effect in 2026?
KalshiRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
PolymarketRegeln
Resolves YES if strong evidence emerges that Russia assassinated Lindsey Graham before January 1st 2050.
- “Russia” includes the Russian state, its government, military, intelligence services, or agents or proxies acting under their direction or with their authorization. “Assassinated” means Lindsey Graham was intentionally killed for political, strategic, or state-related purposes.
- Strong evidence includes, but is not limited to:
- A formal attribution by the United States government or another highly credible government;
- A court judgment or criminal conviction establishing Russian responsibility;
- A clear consensus among multiple reputable, independent investigations based on corroborated documentary, forensic, intelligence, or eyewitness evidence;