PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührAktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitDecember 31 53%+1.0%Führend unter 3 Optionen
Marktqualitat
89 / 100
Hohe Qualität24h-Volumen
24.880,8 €
Liquidität
90.980,9 €
Hohe LiquiditätGeld / Brief
24.0% / 25.0%
Spread
4.2%
Mittlerer Spread7d-Änderung
-16.0%
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 6 Minuten
18. Juni 26, 2:2231. Dez. 26, 20:59
Trends
0%
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
December 3153%
Große Trades
$1.0k76.1%Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026? — NoManzana698vor 14 Std.
Verwandte Märkte
NATO x Russia military clash by...?
40.980,5 €December 31: 18%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by...?
16.022,6 €2026: 9%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
15.386,5 €Ja: 19%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
When will there be a ceasefire in Ukraine?
939,9 €Before 2025-01-01: 0%
MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill there be widespread fuel shortages in Moscow city before 1 December 2026?
684,3 €Ja: 74.4%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Volodymyr Zelenskyy departure announced?
599,4 €Before Oct 1, 2026: 9%
KALSHI
KALSHIIn diesen Themen aktiv
Verwandte Nachrichten
Russia steps up strikes as Polymarket lifts Putin-out-by-2026 odds to 11.5%Blockchain.News
Iran war shifts tourism, Polymarket trims China-Taiwan invasion odds to 4.25%Blockchain.News
Iran control stance hits Hormuz outlook as Polymarket Yes slips to 30.5%Blockchain.News
Zelenskyy touts repeat Ufa strike as Polymarket lifts Eizenkot to 40.55%Blockchain.NewsIran signals talks stalled, Polymarket odds fall to 14.5% on Hormuz normalcyBlockchain.News
Ukraine reports Crimea strikes as Polymarket puts 2026 recapture odds at 13.5%Blockchain.NewsRegeln
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Russia and Ukraine aimed at discussing a ceasefire, peace agreement, or other substantive de-escalation of the ongoing conflict by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments.
- Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
- Meetings or talks limited to humanitarian issues will not qualify unless they also include substantive negotiation regarding broader Russia-Ukraine peace terms, such as a ceasefire, peace agreement, territorial issues, security guarantees, or similar.
- Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.