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  1. Prognosemärkte
  2. Fed
  3. Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?

Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?

2.0% (24h)FedGeopolitikOne-OffCrime & Justice6Mon
KalshiKalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% Gebühr
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Tim Walz
Tim Walz 28%-2.0%
Führend unter 25 Optionen
Marktqualitat

44 / 100

Niedrige Qualität
24h-Volumen

35,9 €

Liquidität

2804,7 €

Mittlere Liquidität
Geld / Brief

24.0% / 28.0%

Spread

16.7%

Breiter Spread
Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 1 Minute

2. Dez. 25, 1:001. Jan. 27, 4:59

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit

Gewähltes Ergebnis

Tim Walz28%

Regeln

If James Comey has been formally charged with a federal crime after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • Charges filed in military courts are included.
  • The reinstatement of charges filed prior to Issuance does not count; only the filing of a new charging document after Issuance triggers the Payout Criterion.
  • Formal charges require the filing of a criminal complaint, information, or indictment with an appropriate court.
  • Arrests without charges, being named as a target of investigation, civil lawsuits, and administrative actions do not constitute charges.
  • Traffic violations that don't require court appearances and sealed charges that remain sealed through the deadline also don't count.

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In diesen Themen aktiv

BitcoinBTC$62,607.99+1.74%EthereumETH$1,652.11+1.38%SolanaSOL$65.11+0.90%DogecoinDOGE$0.085+1.14%BNBBNB$595.66+1.32%XRPXRP$1.12-0.23%

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Regeln

If James Comey has been formally charged with a federal crime after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • Charges filed in military courts are included.
  • The reinstatement of charges filed prior to Issuance does not count; only the filing of a new charging document after Issuance triggers the Payout Criterion.
  • Formal charges require the filing of a criminal complaint, information, or indictment with an appropriate court.
  • Arrests without charges, being named as a target of investigation, civil lawsuits, and administrative actions do not constitute charges.
  • Traffic violations that don't require court appearances and sealed charges that remain sealed through the deadline also don't count.