KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührAktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitFed maintains rate 66%-13.0%Führend unter 5 Optionen
Marktqualitat
44 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
2,2 €
Liquidität
19.845,2 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
67.0% / 83.0%
Spread
23.9%
Breiter SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 9 Minuten
29. Sept. 25, 14:0028. Okt. 26, 17:59
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Fed maintains rate66%
Plattformen vergleichen· Fed maintains rate
Sortiert nach 24h-Volumen| Plattform | Wahrscheinlichkeit | vs. Referenz | 24h Vol | Liq | Aktualität | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketAktivste | 71% | — | 15.691,6 € | 217.854,9 € | vor 14 Minuten | Öffnen → |
| KalshiDiese Seite | 66% | — | 2,2 € | 19.845,2 € | vor 9 Minuten |
Auch verfügbar auf Polymarket
Fed Decision in October?
3.0%3Mon
+3.0%71%
+1.5%14%
-2.0%13%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
100 • Hohe QualitätEnger SpreadHohe LiquiditätHohe Mehrdeutigkeit
Gesamtvolumen167.341,5 €
24h-Volumen15.691,6 €
POLYMARKETRegeln
If the Federal Reserve does a Cut of 25bps on October 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market is mutually exclusive.
- Therefore, if the Federal Reserve hikes by 50bps, the 50bps market will resolve to Yes and the 25bps market will resolve to No.
- Only one bucket, at maximum, can resolve to Yes.
- Note 4/28/25: For the markets beginning after the May meeting, if a scheduled FOMC meeting is canceled and does not occur on its scheduled date, then the strike for "Fed maintains rate" will resolve to Yes and all others will resolve to No.
- If the Federal Reserve does a Hike of 0bps on October 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
Volumentrend
$22. Juli7T Daten8. Juli
Makro-Sensible Assets
Verwandte Märkte
Fed decision in Jul 2026?
569.878,5 €Fed maintains rate: 80%KALSHI
KALSHIFed decision in Sep 2026?
7315,5 €Fed maintains rate: 60%KALSHI
KALSHIFed decision in Dec 2026?
233,2 €Hike 25bps: 25%KALSHI
KALSHIFed decision in Dec 2027?
46,8 €Hike >25bps: 3%KALSHI
KALSHIFed decision in Oct 2027?
8,8 €Cut 25bps: 7%KALSHI
KALSHIFed decision in Apr 2027?
0,9 €Hike 25bps: 8%KALSHI
KALSHIIn diesen Themen aktiv
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Inflation warning revives hike talk as Polymarket keeps 2026 at 82% zero cutsBlockchain.NewsRegeln
If the Federal Reserve does a Cut of 25bps on October 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market is mutually exclusive.
- Therefore, if the Federal Reserve hikes by 50bps, the 50bps market will resolve to Yes and the 25bps market will resolve to No.
- Only one bucket, at maximum, can resolve to Yes.
- Note 4/28/25: For the markets beginning after the May meeting, if a scheduled FOMC meeting is canceled and does not occur on its scheduled date, then the strike for "Fed maintains rate" will resolve to Yes and all others will resolve to No.
- If the Federal Reserve does a Hike of 0bps on October 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.