KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Fed maintains rate 71.6%Führend unter 5 OptionenMargenbereinigt: Die Rohquoten summierten sich auf über 100 % und wurden normalisiert.
Marktqualitat
85 / 100
Hohe Qualität24h-Volumen
27.956,9 €
Liquidität
193.165,1 €
Hohe LiquiditätSpread
1.0 pt
Enger SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 25 Minuten
29. Sept. 25, 14:0028. Okt. 26, 17:59
Trends
Makro-Sensible Assets
Regeln
If the Federal Reserve does a Cut of 25bps on October 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Federal Reserve
- This market is mutually exclusive.
- Therefore, if the Federal Reserve hikes by 50bps, the 50bps market will resolve to Yes and the 25bps market will resolve to No. Only one bucket, at maximum, can resolve to Yes.
- Note 4/28/25: For the markets beginning after the May meeting, if a scheduled FOMC meeting is canceled and does not occur on its scheduled date, then the strike for "the named outcome" will resolve to Yes and all others will resolve to No. If the Federal Reserve does a Hike of 0bps on October 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Federal Reserve does a Hike of 25bps on October 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Vergleich von Prognosequellen
CoinRithm-Referenz No change 72% · 2 Plattformen · 1 Pkt.-Band
Offene Märkte
Fed
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- No change+1.0pt68.3%
- 25 bps increase-1.0pt30.7%
- 25 bps decrease+0.3pt1%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 40,6 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 1 Mio. €
KALSHIFed decision in Sep 2026?
- Fed maintains rate+2.0pt66.7%
- Hike 25bps-1.0pt30.4%
- Cut 25bps1%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 10,6 Mio. €
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed rate decision in September 2026
- Fed maintains rate-2.0pt65.6%
- Hike 25bps+3.0pt28.3%
- Cut 25bps-1.0pt2.8%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
KALSHINumber of rate cuts in 2026?
- Exactly 0 cuts+2.6pt88.1%
- Exactly 1 cut-0.6pt8.9%
- Exactly 2 cuts-0.3pt2%
+18 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0+0.8pt86%
- 1 (2510%
- 2 (50+0.1pt3%
+10 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETFed Decision in December?
- No change60.6%
- 25 bps increase26.9%
- 25 bps decrease+1.4pt8.7%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- Fed Decision in October?
- Fed rate hike in 2026?
- Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Fed Rate Decision (Oct 2026)
- Fed rate cut by which date?
- Fed rate hike by which date?
- Next Fed rate hike?
- Will the US Fed Funds Target Rate be set above 4.125% at the FOMC meeting ending September 16, 2026?
- Fed rate cut before 2027?
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
Zugehörige Kryptos
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Fed decision in Oct 2026??
- Kalshi bewertet Fed maintains rate mit 72% (Stand: 22. August 2026).
- Wann wird Fed decision in Oct 2026? entschieden?
- Fed decision in Oct 2026? soll am 28. Oktober 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Fed decision in Oct 2026? abgerechnet?
- Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If the Federal Reserve does a Cut of 25bps on October 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Wo wird Fed decision in Oct 2026? außerdem gelistet?
- Dieselbe Frage wird auch auf Limitless, Polymarket, Robinhood (Rothera) gelistet.