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  1. Prognosemärkte
  2. Fed
  3. Fed decision in Jul 2027?
Fed decision in Jul 2027?

Fed decision in Jul 2027?

FedOne-Off1J
KalshiKalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% Gebühr
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Cut 25bps
Cut 25bps 12%
Führend unter 5 Optionen
Marktqualitat

28 / 100

Niedrige Qualität
24h-Volumen

1,6 €

Liquidität

23,4 €

Niedrige Liquidität
Geld / Brief

11.0% / 12.0%

Spread

9.1%

Breiter Spread
Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 1 Minute

6. Okt. 25, 14:0028. Juli 27, 17:59

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit

Gewähltes Ergebnis

Cut 25bps12%

Regeln

If the Federal Reserve does a Cut of 25bps on July 28, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • This market is mutually exclusive.
  • Therefore, if the Federal Reserve hikes by 50bps, the 50bps market will resolve to Yes and the 25bps market will resolve to No.
  • Only one bucket, at maximum, can resolve to Yes.
  • Note 4/28/25: For the markets beginning after the May meeting, if a scheduled FOMC meeting is canceled and does not occur on its scheduled date, then the strike for "Fed maintains rate" will resolve to Yes and all others will resolve to No.
  • If the Federal Reserve does a Hike of 0bps on July 28, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Makro-Sensible Assets

BitcoinBTC$62,668.65+2.49%EthereumETH$1,650.43+1.87%SolanaSOL$65.14+1.73%

Verwandte Märkte

Fed decision in Jun 2026?

Fed decision in Jun 2026?

8419,9 €
Fed maintains rate: 98%KalshiKALSHI
Fed decision in Jul 2026?

Fed decision in Jul 2026?

948,3 €
Cut 25bps: 3%KalshiKALSHI
Fed decision in Sep 2026?

Fed decision in Sep 2026?

10,2 €
Hike 25bps: 16%KalshiKALSHI
Fed decision in Dec 2026?

Fed decision in Dec 2026?

0,1 €
Cut 25bps: 8%KalshiKALSHI
Fed decision in Dec 2027?

Fed decision in Dec 2027?

0,1 €
Hike 25bps: 2%KalshiKALSHI
Fed decision in Apr 2027?

Fed decision in Apr 2027?

0,1 €
Cut >25bps: 1%KalshiKALSHI

In diesen Themen aktiv

DogecoinDOGE$0.085+1.96%BNBBNB$595.34+1.82%XRPXRP$1.12+0.41%CardanoADA$0.1662+3.24%HyperliquidHYPE$54.83-0.98%LitecoinLTC$42.72+0.92%

Verwandte Nachrichten

Bitcoin traders brace for Federal Reserve decision as hold odds hit 98%Crypto NewsWall Street abandons rate-cut hopes ahead of Kevin Warsh’s first FOMCCrypto NewsStrategy's bitcoin purchase fails to stir BTC priceCoindeskBitcoin braces for inflation shock as CPI puts bulls on edgeCrypto NewsThe Fed, Iran, and Saylor: anatomy of the June crypto crashCrypto NewsMay 2026 US Jobs Report: Upward Revisions Reshape Crypto Fed Rate Cut OutlookBlockchain Reporter

Regeln

If the Federal Reserve does a Cut of 25bps on July 28, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • This market is mutually exclusive.
  • Therefore, if the Federal Reserve hikes by 50bps, the 50bps market will resolve to Yes and the 25bps market will resolve to No.
  • Only one bucket, at maximum, can resolve to Yes.
  • Note 4/28/25: For the markets beginning after the May meeting, if a scheduled FOMC meeting is canceled and does not occur on its scheduled date, then the strike for "Fed maintains rate" will resolve to Yes and all others will resolve to No.
  • If the Federal Reserve does a Hike of 0bps on July 28, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.