KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Fed maintains rate 61%-2.0ptFührend unter 5 OptionenMargenbereinigt: Die Rohquoten summierten sich auf über 100 % und wurden normalisiert.
Marktqualitat
72 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
895,5 €
Liquidität
28.977 €
Hohe LiquiditätSpread
1.0 pt
Enger SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 7 Minuten
29. Sept. 25, 14:0027. Jan. 27, 18:59
Trends
Makro-Sensible Assets
Regeln
If the Federal Reserve does a Cut of 25bps on January 27, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Federal Reserve
- This market is mutually exclusive.
- Therefore, if the Federal Reserve hikes by 50bps, the 50bps market will resolve to Yes and the 25bps market will resolve to No. Only one bucket, at maximum, can resolve to Yes.
- Note 4/28/25: For the markets beginning after the May meeting, if a scheduled FOMC meeting is canceled and does not occur on its scheduled date, then the strike for "the named outcome" will resolve to Yes and all others will resolve to No. If the Federal Reserve does a Hike of 0bps on January 27, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Federal Reserve does a Hike of 25bps on January 27, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Vergleich von Prognosequellen
Offene Märkte
Fed
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- No change67.7%
- 25 bps increase30.4%
- 25 bps decrease+0.5pt2%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 40,7 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 963.213,8 €
KALSHIFed decision in Sep 2026?
- Fed maintains rate66%
- Hike 25bps31.1%
- Cut 25bps1%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 10,6 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 122.993,8 €
KALSHINumber of rate cuts in 2026?
- Exactly 0 cuts+2.0pt87.1%
- Exactly 1 cut-0.6pt8.9%
- Exactly 2 cuts+0.5pt3%
+18 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
KALSHIFed decision in Oct 2026?
- Fed maintains rate70.9%
- Hike 25bps22.3%
- Cut 25bps3.9%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 224.994,2 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 28.034,2 €
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0+0.7pt86%
- 1 (2510%
- 2 (50+0.1pt3%
+10 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETFed Decision in December?
- No change60.6%
- 25 bps increase-0.5pt26.9%
- 25 bps decrease+1.5pt8.7%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Fed Decision in October?
- Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)
- Fed rate hike in 2026?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Next Fed rate hike?
- Fed Rate Decision (Oct 2026)
- Fed rate cut by which date?
- Fed rate decision in September 2026
- Fed Decision in January?
- Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
- Fed rate hike by which date?
- Bank of Israel decision in August?
Zugehörige Kryptos
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Fed decision in Jan 2027??
- Kalshi bewertet Fed maintains rate mit 61% (Stand: 23. August 2026).
- Wann wird Fed decision in Jan 2027? entschieden?
- Fed decision in Jan 2027? soll am 27. Januar 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Fed decision in Jan 2027? abgerechnet?
- Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If the Federal Reserve does a Cut of 25bps on January 27, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Wo wird Fed decision in Jan 2027? außerdem gelistet?
- Dieselbe Frage wird auch auf Robinhood (Rothera), Polymarket gelistet.