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  1. Prognosemärkte
  2. Fed
  3. Number of rate cuts in 2026?
Number of rate cuts in 2026?

Number of rate cuts in 2026?

5.3% (24h)FedOne-Off6Mon
KalshiKalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% Gebühr
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Exactly 0 cuts
Exactly 0 cuts 72%-5.3%
Führend unter 21 Optionen
Marktqualitat

72 / 100

Mittlere Qualität
24h-Volumen

177 €

Liquidität

23.674,7 €

Hohe Liquidität
Geld / Brief

71.7% / 74.9%

Spread

4.5%

Mittlerer Spread
Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 3 Minuten

29. Sept. 25, 14:001. Jan. 27, 4:59

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit
Exactly 5 cuts
Exactly 5 cuts
0%

Gewähltes Ergebnis

Exactly 0 cuts72%

Regeln

If the Fed cuts 0 times starting Jan 1, 2026 and before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • To be clear, 25bp of cuts is equal to one cut (so 25bp cut is 1, 50bp cut is 2, 75bp cut is 3, and so on).
  • If the Fed cuts 1 times starting Jan 1, 2026 and before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the Fed cuts 2 times starting Jan 1, 2026 and before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the Fed cuts 3 times starting Jan 1, 2026 and before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the Fed cuts 4 times starting Jan 1, 2026 and before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Verwandte Märkte

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

165.574 €
0 (0: 79%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?

Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?

88.243,8 €
Ja: 1%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Fed rate hike in 2026?

Fed rate hike in 2026?

72.123,4 €
Ja: 52%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Fed decision in Jun 2026?

Fed decision in Jun 2026?

8619,8 €
Fed maintains rate: 98%KalshiKALSHI
Fed decision in Jul 2026?

Fed decision in Jul 2026?

963,7 €
Cut 25bps: 3%KalshiKALSHI
Fed funds rate after Jun 2026 meeting?

Fed funds rate after Jun 2026 meeting?

695,9 €
Above 3.75%: 1%KalshiKALSHI

In diesen Themen aktiv

BitcoinBTC$62,867.10+2.52%EthereumETH$1,658.07+1.88%SolanaSOL$65.28+1.86%DogecoinDOGE$0.085+1.73%BNBBNB$596.82+1.84%XRPXRP$1.12+0.74%

Verwandte Nachrichten

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Regeln

If the Fed cuts 0 times starting Jan 1, 2026 and before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • To be clear, 25bp of cuts is equal to one cut (so 25bp cut is 1, 50bp cut is 2, 75bp cut is 3, and so on).
  • If the Fed cuts 1 times starting Jan 1, 2026 and before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the Fed cuts 2 times starting Jan 1, 2026 and before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the Fed cuts 3 times starting Jan 1, 2026 and before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the Fed cuts 4 times starting Jan 1, 2026 and before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.