KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGrob kalibriertAktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitExactly 4 cuts 1%+0.1%Führend unter 21 Optionen
Marktqualitat
73 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
31.152,3 €
Liquidität
3,8 Mio. €
Hohe LiquiditätGeld / Brief
0.7% / 0.9%
Spread
28.6%
Breiter SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 23 Minuten
29. Sept. 25, 14:001. Jan. 27, 4:59
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Exactly 4 cuts1%
Plattformen vergleichen· Exactly 0 cuts
Sortiert nach Marktqualität, dann Liquidität und 24-h-Volumen| Plattform | Qualität | Wahrscheinlichkeit | vs. Referenz | 24h Vol | Liq | Aktualität | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketBeste insgesamt82% Übereinstimmung · geprüft | Mittel | 85% | — | 49.020,4 € | 2,2 Mio. € | vor 3 Minuten | Öffnen → |
| KalshiDiese Seite | Mittel | 83% | — | 31.152,3 € | 3,8 Mio. € | vor 23 Minuten | |
 Manifold Markets80% Übereinstimmung · geprüft | — | 53% | — | — | — | gestern | Öffnen → |
| Manifold Markets85% Übereinstimmung · geprüft | — | 83% | — | — | — | vorgestern | Öffnen → |
Auch verfügbar auf Manifold Markets
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
5Mon
+1.4%82.8%
-0.9%8.1%
-0.2%2.8%
+6 weitere Ergebnisse
Community-Prognose16 PrognostikerTyp: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSAuch verfügbar auf Polymarket
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
5Mon
85%
9%
3%
+10 weitere Ergebnisse
73 • Mittlere QualitätBreiter SpreadHohe Liquidität
Gesamtvolumen39,4 Mio. €
24h-Volumen49.020,4 €
POLYMARKETAuch verfügbar auf Manifold Markets
How many net Fed rate cuts in 2026?
5Mon
53.3%
34.4%
8.5%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
Community-Prognose25 PrognostikerTyp: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSRegeln
If the Fed cuts 0 times starting Jan 1, 2026 and before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- To be clear, 25bp of cuts is equal to one cut (so 25bp cut is 1, 50bp cut is 2, 75bp cut is 3, and so on).
- If the Fed cuts 1 times starting Jan 1, 2026 and before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Fed cuts 2 times starting Jan 1, 2026 and before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Fed cuts 3 times starting Jan 1, 2026 and before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Fed cuts 4 times starting Jan 1, 2026 and before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
Große Trades
$1.4k83.0%KALSHIExactly 0 cuts — Yesvor 3 Tagen
KALSHIExactly 0 cuts — Yesvor 3 Tagen$1.1k84.6%POLYMARKETWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? — YesOptimistic-Functionalityvor 3 Tagen
POLYMARKETWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? — YesOptimistic-Functionalityvor 3 Tagen$1.3k84.8%POLYMARKETWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? — YesOptimistic-Functionalityvor 4 Tagen
POLYMARKETWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? — YesOptimistic-Functionalityvor 4 Tagen$2.9k99.6%POLYMARKETWill 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? — Nokristina38vor 4 Tagen
POLYMARKETWill 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? — Nokristina38vor 4 Tagen$2.8k99.3%POLYMARKETWill 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? — Noaaronhillvor 5 Tagen
POLYMARKETWill 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? — Noaaronhillvor 5 Tagen$1.7k20.0%KALSHIExactly 0 cuts — Novor 6 Tagen
KALSHIExactly 0 cuts — Novor 6 Tagen$3.4k15.0%POLYMARKETWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? — NoyameteV9vor 8 Tagen
POLYMARKETWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? — NoyameteV9vor 8 Tagen$2.8k79.0%KALSHIExactly 0 cuts — Yesvor 10 Tagen
KALSHIExactly 0 cuts — Yesvor 10 TagenVolumentrend
$35.4k2. Juli25T Daten26. Juli
Verwandte Märkte
Fed decision in Jul 2026?
371.647,9 €Fed maintains rate: 80%KALSHI
KALSHI
Fed rate hike in 2026?
48.824,3 €Ja: 71%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
What will Kevin Warsh say during his July press conference?
28.399,6 €Volatility: 18%KALSHI
KALSHI
Fed funds rate after Jul 2026 meeting?
27.609,6 €Above 4.00%: 1%KALSHI
KALSHI
Ecusfed 26 SEP
22.763,3 €H 0: 42%ROTHERA
ROTHERA
Fed decisions (Jul–Oct)
10.413,9 €Other: 71%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETIn diesen Themen aktiv
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If the Fed cuts 0 times starting Jan 1, 2026 and before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- To be clear, 25bp of cuts is equal to one cut (so 25bp cut is 1, 50bp cut is 2, 75bp cut is 3, and so on).
- If the Fed cuts 1 times starting Jan 1, 2026 and before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Fed cuts 2 times starting Jan 1, 2026 and before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Fed cuts 3 times starting Jan 1, 2026 and before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Fed cuts 4 times starting Jan 1, 2026 and before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.