KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGrob kalibriertAktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitExactly 4 cuts 1%+0.1%Führend unter 21 Optionen
Marktqualitat
73 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
30.656,7 €
Liquidität
3,8 Mio. €
Hohe LiquiditätGeld / Brief
0.7% / 0.9%
Spread
28.6%
Breiter SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 21 Minuten
29. Sept. 25, 14:001. Jan. 27, 4:59
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Exactly 4 cuts1%
Plattformen vergleichen· Exactly 0 cuts
Sortiert nach Marktqualität, dann Liquidität und 24-h-Volumen| Plattform | Qualität | Wahrscheinlichkeit | vs. Referenz | 24h Vol | Liq | Aktualität | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketBeste insgesamt82% Übereinstimmung · geprüft | Mittel | 85% | — | 45.671,9 € | 2,3 Mio. € | vor 21 Minuten | Öffnen → |
| KalshiDiese Seite | Mittel | 83% | — | 30.656,7 € | 3,8 Mio. € | vor 21 Minuten | |
 Manifold Markets80% Übereinstimmung · geprüft | — | 53% | — | — | — | vor 23 Stunden | Öffnen → |
| Manifold Markets85% Übereinstimmung · geprüft | — | 83% | — | — | — | vorgestern | Öffnen → |
Auch verfügbar auf Manifold Markets
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
5Mon
+1.4%82.8%
-0.9%8.1%
-0.2%2.8%
+6 weitere Ergebnisse
Community-Prognose16 PrognostikerTyp: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSAuch verfügbar auf Polymarket
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
5Mon
+0.3%85%
9%
+0.1%3%
+10 weitere Ergebnisse
73 • Mittlere QualitätBreiter SpreadHohe Liquidität
Gesamtvolumen39,4 Mio. €
24h-Volumen45.671,9 €
POLYMARKETAuch verfügbar auf Manifold Markets
How many net Fed rate cuts in 2026?
5Mon
53.3%
34.4%
8.5%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
Community-Prognose25 PrognostikerTyp: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSRegeln
If the Fed cuts 0 times starting Jan 1, 2026 and before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- To be clear, 25bp of cuts is equal to one cut (so 25bp cut is 1, 50bp cut is 2, 75bp cut is 3, and so on).
- If the Fed cuts 1 times starting Jan 1, 2026 and before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Fed cuts 2 times starting Jan 1, 2026 and before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Fed cuts 3 times starting Jan 1, 2026 and before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Fed cuts 4 times starting Jan 1, 2026 and before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
Große Trades
$1.4k83.0%KALSHIExactly 0 cuts — Yesvor 3 Tagen
KALSHIExactly 0 cuts — Yesvor 3 Tagen$1.1k84.6%POLYMARKETWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? — YesOptimistic-Functionalityvor 3 Tagen
POLYMARKETWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? — YesOptimistic-Functionalityvor 3 Tagen$1.3k84.8%POLYMARKETWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? — YesOptimistic-Functionalityvor 4 Tagen
POLYMARKETWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? — YesOptimistic-Functionalityvor 4 Tagen$2.9k99.6%POLYMARKETWill 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? — Nokristina38vor 4 Tagen
POLYMARKETWill 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? — Nokristina38vor 4 Tagen$2.8k99.3%POLYMARKETWill 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? — Noaaronhillvor 5 Tagen
POLYMARKETWill 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? — Noaaronhillvor 5 Tagen$1.7k20.0%KALSHIExactly 0 cuts — Novor 6 Tagen
KALSHIExactly 0 cuts — Novor 6 Tagen$3.4k15.0%POLYMARKETWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? — NoyameteV9vor 7 Tagen
POLYMARKETWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? — NoyameteV9vor 7 Tagen$2.8k79.0%KALSHIExactly 0 cuts — Yesvor 10 Tagen
KALSHIExactly 0 cuts — Yesvor 10 TagenVolumentrend
$34.9k2. Juli25T Daten26. Juli
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What will Kevin Warsh say during his July press conference?
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Ecusfed 26 SEP
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POLYMARKETIn diesen Themen aktiv
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If the Fed cuts 0 times starting Jan 1, 2026 and before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- To be clear, 25bp of cuts is equal to one cut (so 25bp cut is 1, 50bp cut is 2, 75bp cut is 3, and so on).
- If the Fed cuts 1 times starting Jan 1, 2026 and before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Fed cuts 2 times starting Jan 1, 2026 and before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Fed cuts 3 times starting Jan 1, 2026 and before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Fed cuts 4 times starting Jan 1, 2026 and before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.