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  1. Prognosemärkte
  2. Fed
  3. How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
Manifold Markets

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

FedOne-OffInflationKI6Mon
Manifold MarketsManifold MarketsKein KYC
Aktuelle Community-Prognose
Manifold Markets
0 (0 bps) 82.3%
Führend unter 9 Optionen
Prognostiker

10

Fragetyp

multiple choice

Methodik

Play-money forecasting platform

Quellentyp

Prognose

Marktdaten

Aktualisiert gestern

Veraltet
11. Dez. 25, 8:4631. Dez. 26, 23:59

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung

Gewähltes Ergebnis

0 (0 bps)82%

PolymarketAuch verfügbar auf Polymarket

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

1.9%6Mon
0 (0
0 (0
-1.9%80%
1 (25
1 (25
-1.0%13%
2 (50
2 (50
+0.3%3%

+10 weitere Ergebnisse

100 • Hohe QualitätEnger SpreadHohe Liquidität
Gesamtvolumen34,3 Mio. €
24h-Volumen163.439,2 €
PolymarketPOLYMARKET

Regeln

This market resolves to the exact number of 25-basis-point rate cuts made by the Federal Reserve in 2026, including any cuts at the December FOMC meeting.

Manifold Markets
  • Emergency cuts outside scheduled FOMC meetings also count.
  • The market remains open until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET to capture such actions.
  • Rate cuts are counted as follows:
  • Each 25 bps of total reduction = 1 cut
  • Cuts of 1–24 bps = 1 cut

Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.

Makro-Sensible Assets

BitcoinBTC$59,908.64-1.60%EthereumETH$1,571.73-2.71%SolanaSOL$67.24-0.94%

Verwandte Märkte

Manifold Markets

How many net Fed rate cuts in 2026?

124,1 €
0 cuts (Target 3.50-3.75): 37.9%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

Will the Fed change its 2% inflation target before the end of Trump’s term?

88 €
Ja: 15.8%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

What share of US adults will use generative AI at least weekly by the end of 2030?

94,1 €
Less than 40%: 2.1%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Fed rate hike by...?

Fed rate hike by...?

30.090,6 €
October Meeting: 49%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Fed rate hike in 2026?

Fed rate hike in 2026?

20.820 €
Ja: 53%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)

Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)

17.138,6 €
Pause–Pause–Pause: 79%PolymarketPOLYMARKET

In diesen Themen aktiv

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Verwandte Nachrichten

Inflation gauge hits 3-year high as Polymarket pegs July Fed hold at 77.5%Blockchain.NewsHot PCE inflation fuels rate-hike talk as Polymarket puts Starmer exit at 89.5%Blockchain.NewsInflation warning revives hike talk as Polymarket keeps 2026 at 82% zero cutsBlockchain.NewsSam Altman takes on Nvidia with OpenAI’s Jalapeño chipCrypto NewsGoogle Adds Computer Use to Gemini 3.5 Flash for Enterprise AIBlockchain.NewsBofA flags 2026 hikes; Polymarket puts July Fed hold at 73.5%Blockchain.News

Regeln

This market resolves to the exact number of 25-basis-point rate cuts made by the Federal Reserve in 2026, including any cuts at the December FOMC meeting.

Manifold Markets
  • Emergency cuts outside scheduled FOMC meetings also count.
  • The market remains open until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET to capture such actions.
  • Rate cuts are counted as follows:
  • Each 25 bps of total reduction = 1 cut
  • Cuts of 1–24 bps = 1 cut