Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Ja 83.2%+4.0pt
Marktqualitat
86 / 100
Hohe Qualität24h-Volumen
31.229,5 €
Liquidität
189.673,4 €
Hohe LiquiditätGeld / Brief
83.0% / 84.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Enger SpreadKommentare
0
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 9 Minuten
16. Sept. 26, 18:24 UTC9. Dez. 26, 00:00 UTC
Trends
Makro-Sensible Assets
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Next Fed rate hike?
KalshiWill the Fed lower the rate 25bps in October 2026? (Interest rates) (Rate hike cut) (Monetary policy) (FOMC) (Central bank)?
ForecastExFed rate hike by...? [Polymarket]
Manifold MarketsAnother Fed Rate Hike in 2026?
Manifold MarketsFed rate hike in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the Fed leave the rate unchanged in October 2026? (Interest rates) (Rate hike cut) (Monetary policy) (FOMC) (Central bank)?
ForecastExRegeln
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between September 17, 2026 and the completion of the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8 to 9, 2026, inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the December meeting.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- Any change to the target federal funds rate announced at the conclusion of the September 15 to 16, 2026 FOMC meeting will not count toward this market.
- Emergency rate hikes announced on or after September 17, 2026 will qualify.
- This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Vergleich von Prognosequellen
2 Handelsplätze bepreisen diesen Markt derzeit. Die liquiditätsgewichtete Referenzwahrscheinlichkeit von CoinRithm für CoinRithm-Referenz liegt bei 84%. Die Kurse liegen rund 1 Prozentpunkt auseinander.
CoinRithm-Referenz 84% · 2 Plattformen · 1 Pkt. Venue-Spanne
Offene Märkte
FedPOLYMARKETFed Decision in October?
- 25 bps increase+4.0pt49.5%
- No change-4.0pt48.5%
- 25 bps decrease-0.1pt1%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 5,5 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 1,5 Mio. €
KALSHINumber of rate cuts in 2026?
- Exactly 0 cuts-1.3pt95%
- Exactly 1 cut+1.3pt4%
- Exactly 3 cuts+0.5pt1%
+18 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0 bps)+0.6pt97.9%
- 1 (25 bps)-0.2pt2.1%
- 2 (50 bps)-0.1pt0%
+10 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIFed decision in Oct 2026?
- Fed maintains rate-3.0pt49.5%
- Hike 25bps+3.0pt46.7%
- Hike >25bps1.9%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1,4 Mio. €
POLYMARKETFed Decision in December?
- 25 bps increase-3.0pt65%
- No change+3.0pt31.1%
- 25 bps decrease+0.2pt1.9%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed Rate Decision (Dec 2026)
- H 25+13.0pt64.9%
- H 0-5.0pt28.9%
- H 26-1.0pt3.5%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- Fed decision in Dec 2026?
- Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Fed rate cut by which date?
- What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
- Bank of Japan Decision in October?
- Number of rate hikes in 2026?
- Jobs numbers in Sep 2026?
- How low will 10-year Treasury yield get in September?
Zugehörige Kryptos
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Another Fed rate hike in 2026??
- Polymarket bewertet Yes mit 83% (Stand: 17. September 2026).
- Wann wird Another Fed rate hike in 2026? entschieden?
- Another Fed rate hike in 2026? soll am 9. Dezember 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Another Fed rate hike in 2026? abgerechnet?
- Polymarket rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between September 17, 2026 and the completion of the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8 to 9, 2026, inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the December meeting.
- Wo wird Another Fed rate hike in 2026? außerdem gelistet?
- Dieselbe Frage wird auch auf Limitless gelistet.