Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 74.6%
Prognostiker
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Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 11 Stunden
Veraltet25. Mai 26, 10:18 UTC31. Dez. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Makro-Sensible Assets
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Next Fed rate hike?
KalshiFed rate hike by which date?
PolymarketFed rate hike in 2026?
PolymarketWill the Fed leave the rate unchanged in October 2026? (Interest rates) (Rate hike cut) (Monetary policy) (FOMC) (Central bank)?
ForecastExBank of England rate hike in 2026?
PolymarketFed rate hike in 2026?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
Resolves YES if all the following raise rates at least once at any point in 2026:
- US Federal Reserve
- European Central Bank
- Bank of Japan
- Bank of England
- People’s Bank of China
Offene Märkte
FedKALSHIFed decision in Sep 2026?
- Hike 25bps+1.0pt52.4%
- Fed maintains rate-1.0pt44.7%
- Hike >25bps1%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 34,8 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 2,2 Mio. €
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+1.0pt53%
- No change-2.0pt47%
- 50+ bps decrease0%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed rate decision in September 2026
- Hike 25bps+5.0pt48.6%
- Fed maintains rate-4.0pt44.9%
- Cut 25bps2.8%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 543.490,3 €
KALSHINumber of rate cuts in 2026?
- Exactly 0 cuts-0.3pt90.1%
- Exactly 1 cut+1.0pt8.9%
- Exactly 2 cuts-0.9pt1%
+18 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0 bps)+0.3pt93%
- 1 (25 bps)5%
- 2 (50 bps)2%
+10 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 44,4 Mio. €
POLYMARKETFed Decision in October?
- No change66%
- 25 bps increase30.1%
- 25 bps decrease-0.1pt2.9%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- Fed rate cut before 2027?
- Fed funds rate after Sep 2026 meeting?
- Next Fed rate hike?
- Will the Fed leave the rate unchanged in September 2026?
- Fed Rate Decision (Dec 2026)
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
- Fed decision in Oct 2026?
- Fed rate hike by which date?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- What will Kevin Warsh say during his September press conference?
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in September?
Zugehörige Kryptos
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für 2026 rate hike parlay (Fed + ECB + BOJ + BOE + PBC)?
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 75% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird 2026 rate hike parlay (Fed + ECB + BOJ + BOE + PBC) entschieden?
- 2026 rate hike parlay (Fed + ECB + BOJ + BOE + PBC) soll am 31. Dezember 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird 2026 rate hike parlay (Fed + ECB + BOJ + BOE + PBC) abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolves YES if all the following raise rates at least once at any point in 2026: