PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührAktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitNo change 71%+3.0%Führend unter 5 Optionen
Marktqualitat
100 / 100
Hohe Qualität24h-Volumen
15.307 €
Liquidität
213.365,3 €
Hohe LiquiditätGeld / Brief
70.0% / 71.0%
Spread
1.4%
Enger Spread7d-Änderung
+6.0%
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 18 Minuten
17. Juni 26, 23:3428. Okt. 26, 23:59
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
No change71%
Plattformen vergleichen· No change
Sortiert nach 24h-Volumen| Plattform | Wahrscheinlichkeit | vs. Referenz | 24h Vol | Liq | Aktualität | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketDiese SeiteAktivste | 71% | — | 15.307 € | 213.365,3 € | vor 18 Minuten | |
 Kalshi | 66% | — | 2,2 € | 19.844,1 € | vor 12 Minuten | Öffnen → |
Auch verfügbar auf Kalshi
Fed decision in Oct 2026?
13.0%3Mon
-13.0%66%
8%
18%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
44 • Niedrige QualitätBreiter SpreadMittlere LiquiditätHohe Mehrdeutigkeit
Gesamtvolumen29.653,5 €
24h-Volumen2,2 €
KALSHIRegeln
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range.
- The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
- This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's October 2026 meeting.
- If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket.
- (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
- The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for October 27-28, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
Volumentrend
$17.5k2. Juli7T Daten8. Juli
Makro-Sensible Assets
Verwandte Märkte
Fed Decision in July?
2 Mio. €No change: 78%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
118.038,2 €No change: 56%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
New business applications monthly record in 2026?
3318,3 €Ja: 65%KALSHI
KALSHI
Bank of Japan Decision in July?
2510,8 €No change: 98%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Banxico interest rate decision in August
450,7 €Maintain the same rate: 90%FUTUUR
FUTUUREuropean Central Bank interest rate decision in July
377,9 €Maintain the same rate: 97%FUTUUR
FUTUURIn diesen Themen aktiv
Verwandte Nachrichten
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BofA sees 75 bps Fed hikes as Polymarket keeps 2026 no-cuts at 77%Blockchain.News
Hot PCE inflation fuels rate-hike talk as Polymarket puts Starmer exit at 89.5%Blockchain.News
PCE inflation update keeps Fed path in focus as Polymarket pegs 0 cuts at 80%Blockchain.News
Inflation warning revives hike talk as Polymarket keeps 2026 at 82% zero cutsBlockchain.NewsRegeln
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range.
- The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
- This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's October 2026 meeting.
- If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket.
- (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
- The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for October 27-28, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.