Aktuelle Community-Prognose
Ja 66.3%
Prognostiker
47
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 8 Stunden
Veraltet7. Jan. 26, 16:06 UTC16. Sept. 26, 18:00 UTC
Trends
Makro-Sensible Assets
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Regeln
Resolves Yes if Polymarket correctly gusses every fed decision this year. e.g. No Change, 25 BPS cut etc....
- I will consider Polymarket to have guessed correctly if the correct outcome is the most likely Polymarket answer 24 hours before the decision is made.
- Resolves on Dec. 9th after the last fed meeting.
- Reference Market: https://polymarket.com/event/fed-decision-in-january?tid=1767801675891
Offene Märkte
Fed
KALSHIFed decision in Sep 2026?
- Hike 25bps+2.0pt52.9%
- Fed maintains rate-2.0pt43.1%
- Hike >25bps+1.0pt2%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 34,7 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 2,6 Mio. €
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+2.0pt54%
- No change-2.0pt46%
- 50+ bps decrease0%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed rate decision in September 2026
- Hike 25bps+5.0pt49.5%
- Fed maintains rate-4.0pt43.5%
- Cut 25bps2.8%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 543.795,1 €
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0 bps)+0.3pt93%
- 1 (25 bps)-0.1pt5%
- 2 (50 bps)+0.1pt2%
+10 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETFed Decision in October?
- No change66.7%
- 25 bps increase30.4%
- 25 bps decrease-0.8pt2%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
KALSHINumber of rate cuts in 2026?
- Exactly 0 cuts-0.9pt91%
- Exactly 1 cut+0.6pt8%
- Exactly 2 cuts1%
+18 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 7,6 Mio. €
- Fed rate cut before 2027?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Fed funds rate after Sep 2026 meeting?
- Next Fed rate hike?
- Will the Fed leave the rate unchanged in September 2026?
- Fed Rate Decision (Dec 2026)
- Fed decision in Oct 2026?
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- Fed rate hike by which date?
- Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
- Fed rate cut by which date?
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in September?
Zugehörige Kryptos
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will Polymarket be right about every Fed decision in 2026??
- Manifold Markets bewertet Yes mit 66% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will Polymarket be right about every Fed decision in 2026? entschieden?
- Will Polymarket be right about every Fed decision in 2026? soll am 16. September 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will Polymarket be right about every Fed decision in 2026? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolves Yes if Polymarket correctly gusses every fed decision this year. e.g. No Change, 25 BPS cut etc....