Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
1 (25 bps) 42.1%+1.0ptFührend unter 6 OptionenMargenbereinigt: Die Rohquoten summierten sich auf über 100 % und wurden normalisiert.
Marktqualitat
75 / 100
Hohe Qualität24h-Volumen
4055,7 €
Liquidität
61.940,1 €
Hohe LiquiditätSpread
1.1 pt
Enger SpreadKommentare
0
7d-Änderung
-0.8 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 7 Minuten
23. Juni 26, 19:43 UTC31. Dez. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Makro-Sensible Assets
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Regeln
This market will resolve according to the exact amount of hikes of 25 basis points in 2026 by the Fed (including any hikes made during the December meeting).
- Emergency rate hikes outside of scheduled FOMC meetings will also count toward the total number of hikes in 2026.
- This market will remain open until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, to account for any such emergency actions.
- For example, if the Fed hikes rates by 50 bps after a meeting, it would be considered 2 hikes (of 25 bps each).
- This market will resolve early to "No" if the specified number of hikes becomes impossible — i.e., if more hikes have already occurred than the strike in question.
- Note that hikes between 1–24 bps (inclusive) will also be considered 1 rate hike.
Zugehörige Kryptos
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für How many Fed rate hikes in 2026??
- Polymarket bewertet 1 (25 bps) mit 42% (Stand: 9. September 2026).
- Wann wird How many Fed rate hikes in 2026? entschieden?
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026? soll am 31. Dezember 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird How many Fed rate hikes in 2026? abgerechnet?
- Polymarket rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: This market will resolve according to the exact amount of hikes of 25 basis points in 2026 by the Fed (including any hikes made during the December meeting).