Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
2 (50 33%-0.5%Führend unter 6 Optionen
Marktqualitat
64 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
920,3 €
Liquidität
70.762,3 €
Hohe LiquiditätGeld / Brief
0.6% / 1.6%
Spread
166.7%
Breiter Spread7d-Änderung
+0.8%
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 16 Minuten
23. Juni 26, 19:4331. Dez. 26, 23:59
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
2 (5033%
Volumentrend
$1.0k2. Juli25T Daten26. Juli
Makro-Sensible Assets
Verwandte Märkte
Fed rate hike in 2026?
51.210,6 €Ja: 72%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Fed rate hike by which date?
7357 €October Meeting: 69%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
How high will 30yr mortgage rate get this year?
75,1 €Above 6.9%: 55%
KALSHI
KALSHI
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
43,9 €0 (0 bps): 82.8%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSFed rate hike by...? [Polymarket]
24,6 €July Meeting: 10.2%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWhat will the Bank of England interest rate be on Jan 1, 2028?
21,1 €2.50% or less: 5.9%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSIn diesen Themen aktiv
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This market will resolve according to the exact amount of hikes of 25 basis points in 2026 by the Fed (including any hikes made during the December meeting).
- Emergency rate hikes outside of scheduled FOMC meetings will also count toward the total number of hikes in 2026.
- This market will remain open until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, to account for any such emergency actions.
- For example, if the Fed hikes rates by 50 bps after a meeting, it would be considered 2 hikes (of 25 bps each).
- This market will resolve early to "No" if the specified number of hikes becomes impossible — i.e., if more hikes have already occurred than the strike in question.
- Note that hikes between 1–24 bps (inclusive) will also be considered 1 rate hike.