KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Exactly 2 56.6%-4.0ptFührend unter 5 OptionenMargenbereinigt: Die Rohquoten summierten sich auf über 100 % und wurden normalisiert.
Marktqualitat
72 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
10.136,8 €
Liquidität
18.013,6 €
Mittlere LiquiditätSpread
2.0 pt
Enger SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 6 Minuten
15. Sept. 26, 17:00 UTC3. Jan. 27, 15:00 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Regeln
If the number of rate hikes by the Federal Open Market Committee during calendar year 2026 is the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:Federal Reserve
- Please note the following definition of a "rate hike": A single ‘hike’ is considered an increase in the upper bound by at least 1 basis point and up to and including 25 basis points.
- An increase of the upper bound of the target range 26-50 basis points hike is considered two hikes.
- An increase of the upper bound of the target range 51-75 basis points is considered three hikes.
Offene Märkte
Fed
POLYMARKETFed Decision in October?
- 25 bps increase+4.0pt49.5%
- No change-4.0pt48.5%
- 25 bps decrease-0.1pt1%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 5,5 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 1,5 Mio. €
KALSHINumber of rate cuts in 2026?
- Exactly 0 cuts-1.3pt95%
- Exactly 1 cut+1.3pt4%
- Exactly 3 cuts+0.5pt1%
+18 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0 bps)+0.6pt97.9%
- 1 (25 bps)-0.2pt2.1%
- 2 (50 bps)-0.1pt0%
+10 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIFed decision in Oct 2026?
- Fed maintains rate-3.0pt49.5%
- Hike 25bps+3.0pt46.7%
- Hike >25bps1.9%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1,4 Mio. €
POLYMARKETFed Decision in December?
- 25 bps increase-3.0pt65%
- No change+3.0pt31.1%
- 25 bps decrease+0.2pt1.9%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed Rate Decision (Dec 2026)
- H 25+13.0pt64.9%
- H 0-5.0pt28.9%
- H 26-1.0pt3.5%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- Another Fed rate hike in 2026?
- Fed decision in Dec 2026?
- Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Fed rate cut by which date?
- What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
- Bank of Japan Decision in October?
- Jobs numbers in Sep 2026?
- How low will 10-year Treasury yield get in September?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Number of rate hikes in 2026??
- Kalshi bewertet Exactly 2 mit 57% (Stand: 17. September 2026).
- Wann wird Number of rate hikes in 2026? entschieden?
- Number of rate hikes in 2026? soll am 3. Januar 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Number of rate hikes in 2026? abgerechnet?
- Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If the number of rate hikes by the Federal Open Market Committee during calendar year 2026 is the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.